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Sacramento State vs. Montana - 3/9/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Montana at Sacramento State
Date & Time Saturday March 9, 2019, 10:05 PM (EST)
The Nest
Sacramento, California
The Line
The Line: Sacramento State +4.5 -- Over/Under: 138.5
TV Channel
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The Montana Grizzlies and Sacramento State Hornets meet Saturday in college basketball action at The Nest.

The Montana Grizzlies look for a victory after winning 10 of their last 12 games. The Montana Grizzlies are averaging 76.4 points on 48.9 percent shooting and allowing 70.1 points on 44.2 percent shooting. Jamar Akoh is averaging 15.5 points and 8.7 rebounds while Ahmaad Rorie is averaging 14.9 points and four assists. Sayeed Pridgett is the third double-digit scorer and Michael Oguine is grabbing 5.5 rebounds. The Montana Grizzlies are shooting 37.9 percent from beyond the arc and 68.7 percent from the free throw line. The Montana Grizzlies are allowing 35.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.5 rebounds per game. The Montana Grizzlies have won five of their last six road games.

The Sacramento State Hornets look for a win here to get a game above a .500 record. The Sacramento State Hornets are averaging 69.5 points on 43.5 percent shooting and allowing 71.3 points on 44.9 percent shooting. Marcus Graves is averaging 16.3 points and 5.6 assists while Joshua Patton is averaging 13.1 points and 6.6 rebounds. Ethan Esposito is grabbing 4.2 rebounds and Izayah Mauriohooho-Le'afa is dishing 2.5 assists. The Sacramento State Hornets are shooting 31.7 percent from beyond the arc and 69.8 percent from the free throw line. The Sacramento State Hornets are allowing 36.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.4 rebounds per game. The Sacramento State Hornets have won four of their last five home games.

The Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Sky, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Hornets are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win and 1-10 ATS in their last 11 Saturday games. The Grizzlies are 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Sacramento State and 12-5-1 ATS in the last 18 meetings. The under is 4-1 in Hornets last 5 Saturday games. The over is 14-6 in Grizzlies last 20 overall.

The Montana Grizzlies won the first meeting back in January by 31 points, getting everything they wanted offensively and shooting 54.4 percent from the field. Montana comes into this game shooting 51.1 percent from the field in its last five games, so we could get a repeat if the Hornets aren't prepared to defend. The bottom line is the Sacramento State Hornets are too inconsistent to trust against arguably the top team in the conference, even if the Grizzlies don't cover as much as we'd like. I need more points to consider Sacramento State, especially with how the first meeting went down.

Montana -4.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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