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Samford vs. Citadel - 1/17/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Citadel at Samford
Date & Time Thursday January 17, 2019, 7:30 PM (EST)
Pete Hanna Center
Homewood, AL
The Line
Samford Bulldogs -8 -- Over/Under: 175
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Randy Sartin-USA TODAY Sports

The Citadel Bulldogs and the Samford Bulldogs meet in SoCon college basketball action from the Pete Hanna Center on Thursday night.

The Citadel Bulldogs come into this game looking to rebound to snap a 5-game losing streak after a 94-82 loss to Western Carolina in their last outing. Lew Stallworth led the Bulldogs with 32 points on 12 of 18 shooting with a pair of threes and team-highs of 9 rebounds and 8 assists while Zane Najdawl added 20 points and 3 blocks and Hayden Brown chipped in 16 points in 6 of 13 shooting with a pair of threes and a team-high 4 steals to finish off the trio of double-digit scorers for the Citadel in the losing effort. Matt Frierson was held scoreless, shooting an atrocious 0-14 from the floor, including misses on all of his 13 3-point attempts. Stallworth leads the Citadel with an average of 18.9 points and 6.8 assists per game while Najdawl leads the Bulldogs in rebounding with 7.2 rebounds per game this season. As a team, the Citadel is averaging the most points per game in D-I, scoring 94.4 points per game on 46.7% shooting from the field, 35.2% from behind the arc and 74.5% from the foul line this season.

The Samford Bulldogs will look to rebound after losing 3 straight and 5 of their last 6 games following an 80-75 loss to Chattanooga in their last outing. Josh Sharkey led the Bulldogs with 22 points on 7 of 17 shooting with a pair of threes and a team-high 7 assists while Robert Allen and Ruben Guerrero each had 16 points. Allen added 10 rebounds for the double-double while Guerrero chipped in 9 rebounds and 3 steals. Myron Gordon added 11 points and Brandon Austin contributed 10 points with 7 rebounds to round out the scoring in double figures for Samford in the loss. Guerrero leads Samford with an average of 14.8 points and 8.2 rebounds per game while Sharkey leads the Bulldogs in assists with 6.6 assists per game this season. As a team, Samford is averaging 77 points per game on 47.6% shooting from the field, 38.3% from behind the 3-point line and 73.5% from the foul line this season.

The Citadel is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against a team with a winning record while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 road games. Samford is 8-2 ATS in their last 9 home games and 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games overall while the over is 24-5 in their last 29 Thursday games. The Citadel is 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these two teams.

Getting points with the highest-scoring team in the country seems like a slam dunk on the surface. However, the Citadel can’t keep points off of the board if their lives depended on it, as they’re being outscored by 11 points per game on the road this season. That won’t fly considering Samford has scored at least 94 points in each of the last 6 meetings between these two teams. I think there are better games to choose from on Thursday, but if you must pick this game, I think Samford is the way to go as the Citadel just can’t be trusted.

Samford -8

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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