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Samford vs. East Tennessee State - 1/31/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
East Tennessee State at Samford
Date & Time Thursday January 31, 2019, 7:30 PM (EST)
Location
Pete Hanna Center
Birmingham, AL
The Line
Samford Bulldogs +2 -- Over/Under: 146
TV Channel
ESPN3
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Frank Victores-USA TODAY Sports

The East Tennessee State Buccaneers will travel to the Pete Hanna Center to take on the Samford Bulldogs this Thursday night in College Basketball action.

The East Tennessee State Buccaneers improved to 17-5 (7-2 Southern) on the season after defeating the Western Carolina Catamounts, 91-69, this past Saturday. East Tennessee State had their way on the offensive end against the Catamounts and had no trouble securing the victory in the 2nd half after taking a 45-31 halftime lead. East Tennessee State shot 55.4% from the field, 48.0% from beyond the arc, and forced Western Carolina into committing 21 turnovers in the victory. Leading the way for the Buccaneers was Patrick Good who had 35 points, 1 rebound, 1 assist, and a steal.

On the season, East Tennessee State is averaging 80.5 ppg on 48.8% shooting from the field. The Buccaneers are averaging 8.4 three-pointers per game on 36.2% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, East Tennessee State has been led by Tray Boyd III (11.8 ppg, 1.9 rpg, 1.7 apg), Jeromy Rodriguez (11.7 ppg, 11.6 rpg, 2.4 apg, 1.2 spg), Patrick Good (11.2 ppg, 2.3 rpg, 2.0 apg), and Mladen Armus (8.6 ppg, 8.4 rpg, 1.4 apg, 1.0 spg, 1.2 bpg).

Defensively, East Tennessee State is holding their opponents to an average of 66.8 ppg on 41.2% shooting from the field. The Buccaneers have a rebound margin of 13.3 and a turnover margin of -0.1.

The Samford Bulldogs improved to 13-9 (3-6 Southern) on the season after upsetting the Furman Paladins, 75-73, this past Saturday. Samford trailed by a 71-61 margin with 4:21 left in regulation, however, was outstanding defensively down the stretch and was able to secure the come from behind victory after a Robert Allen three-pointer gave the Bulldogs the lead for good with just :05 seconds left in regulation. Samford shot 44.8% from the field and held Furman to just 25.8% shooting from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Bulldogs was Josh Sharkey who had a double-double with 21 points, 12 assists, 4 rebounds, and 3 steals.

On the season, Samford is averaging 78.8 ppg on 47.9% shooting from the field. The Bulldogs are averaging 8.0 three-pointers per game on 40.0% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Samford has been led by Josh Sharkey (16.0 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 7.5 apg, 2.8 spg), Ruben Guerrero (14.0 ppg, 8.1 rpg, 2.0 bpg), Brandon Austin (13.6 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 1.0 spg), and Robert Allen (10.2 ppg, 7.4 rpg, 1.8 apg).

Defensively, Samford is allowing their opponents to average 74.0 ppg on 41.8% shooting from the field. The Bulldogs have a rebound margin of 0.8 and a turnover margin of -0.5.

The Buccaneers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points and 16-6-2 ATS in their last 24 road games. The Bulldogs are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win and 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games overall.

East Tennessee State has won 9 of their last 10 games and have been outstanding on both sides of the ball this season as the Buccaneers currently rank 37th in scoring offense, 67th in scoring defense, and 1st in rebound margin. The Samford Bulldogs have lost 5 of their last 7 games, however, the Bulldogs have looked outstanding recent in their road games at Wofford & Furman, and come into this match-up ranked 55th in scoring offense, 40th in FG%, and 87th in defensive FG%.

This should be a solid match-up on Thursday as both East Tennessee State & Samford are two very good programs and will be teams to watch when the Conference Tournament starts. We picked up a couple of nice ATS wins with Samford last week in their games against Wofford & Furman, however, I think the Bulldogs are going to struggle a bit with the size of the Buccaneers and between the fact that the Buccaneers should be able to own the glass and have won the last 8 match-ups against Samford, I’m taking East Tennessee State to cover this small road spread.

Pick:
East Tennessee State Buccaneers -2

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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