San Francisco vs. Pepperdine - 3/9/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Pepperdine at San Francisco
Saturday, March 9, 2019 at 9:00 PM (Orleans Arena )
San Francisco Dons PK O/U: 149
The Pepperdine Waves and the San Francisco Dons will match up in college basketball’s West Coast Tournament on Saturday.
Pepperdine comes into this one at 15-17 on the year. The Waves have won three of their last four games, taking out Portland, Pacific and then Loyola Marymount on Friday in the first round of the tournament.
In the Friday win, Pepperdine’s lead scorer was Colbey Ross, with 20 points, two rebounds and six assists. Jade Smith also added 16 points with five rebounds and three assists for the Waves in that one.
As for the Dons, they’re currently 21-9 this season. San Francisco had a four-game win streak going last month but since they’ve lost three straight to Santa Clara, San Diego and Loyola Marymount.
In the loss to Loyola MD, San Francisco’s top scorers were Frankie Ferrari and Jimbo Lull, each with 13 points and a combined eight rebounds with 10 assists. Dzmitry Ryuny also finished in double-figures for the Dons there with 12 points.
San Francisco is 2-13-2 ATS in their last 17 Saturday games and 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 after an ATS loss. The over is 7-2 in the Dons’ last nine overall and 35-16-1 in their last 52 after an ATS loss.
Meanwhile, the Waves are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight neutral-site games and 15-6 ATS in their last 21 after an ATS win. The under is 8-2 in the Waves’ last 10 after a straight-up win and the over is 6-2 in they last eight versus a team with a winning straight-up record.
It’s hard to know what to think of San Francisco by looking at their recent finishes. The Dons were scoring pretty well during that win streak, then put up just 65 versus Santa Clara, 90 versus San Diego (but still lost) and 69 versus Loyola MD.
That said, I am willing to give the Dons a bit of leeway here since none of their last three losses has come by more than five points and they realistically should have won at least two of those. I’m probably going to stick with San Francisco here, but in reality I’m not touching it.