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San Francisco vs. Saint Mary's - 1/3/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Saint Mary's-California Gaels (9-6) at San Francisco Dons (12-2)
Date & Time Thursday January 3, 2019, 9:00 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: San Francisco Dons -4 -- Over/Under: 133.5
TV Channel
ESPN2
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Neville E. Guard-USA TODAY Sports

The Saint Mary’s Gaels and the San Francisco Dons meet in West Coast conference college basketball action from the War Memorial Gymnasium on Thursday night.

The Saint Mary’s Gaels will look to find some consistency after alternating wins and losses in each of their last 5 games following a 75-45 win over San Jose State in their last outing. Tanner Krebs led the Gaels with 20 points on 7 of 12 shooting with 6 threes while Jordan Ford added 16 points and a team-high 5 assists with a pair of steals. Elijah Thomas added 10 points on 5 of 7 shooting to round out the trio of double-digit scorers for the Gaels in the win. Malik Fitts had 9 points and 5 rebounds while Dan Fotu added a team-high 6 rebounds. Ford leads the Gaels in scoring with 22.7 points per game while Fitts leads Saint Mary’s on the glass with 7.9 rebounds per game and Tommy Kuhse leads the Gaels in assists with 3.2 assists per game this season. As a team, Saint Mary’s is averaging 77.3 points per game on 49.2% shooting from the field, 39.3% from behind the arc and 74.5% from the foul line this season.

The San Francisco Dons will look to rebound from a 73-71 loss to UC-Santa Barbara in their last outing, which was just the Dons’ 2nd loss of the season. Charles Minlend led the Dons with 19 points on 5 of 12 shooting with a pair of threes and a 7 of 9 mark from the foul line. Frankie Ferrari added 14 points while Matt McCarthy chipped in 13 points and 10 rebounds for the double-double. Nate Renfro added 11 points and 12 rebounds of his own before fouling out to add a double-double of his own while rounding out the group of double-digit scorers for San Francisco in the defeat. Minlend leads San Francisco in scoring with 15.3 points per game while McCarthy leads the Dons in rebounding with 7.4 rebounds per game and Ferrari leads San Francisco in the assists department with 5.7 helpers per game this season. As a team, San Francisco is averaging 78.3 points per game on 47.5% shooting from the field, 33.3% from behind the 3-point line and 64.9% from the foul line this season.

Saint Mary’s is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 45-16-2 in their last 63 road games. San Francisco is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 home games against a team with a losing road record and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 games against a team with a winning record. Saint Mary’s is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings between these two teams and 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings between these two teams in San Francisco.

Saint Mary’s has had a lot of success over the years in this matchup, so it seems weird to see the Gaels as an underdog. However, a lot of that success came when the Gaels were a much better team, winning 25-30 games a year and were always projected to be one of the top two teams in the WCC. San Francisco’s time appears to have finally come and the Dons have been playing extremely well up to this point so I’ll lay the buckets with the Dons in this spot.

Pick:
San Francisco -4

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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