San Jose State vs. Utah State - 1/16/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Utah State at San Jose State
Wednesday, January 16, 2019 at 10:00 PM (San Jose State Event Center)
Utah State Aggies -17.5 -- Over/Under: 142
The Utah State Aggies and the San Jose State Spartans meet in Mountain West conference college basketball action from the San Jose State Event Center on Wednesday night.
The Utah State Aggies will look to find some consistent play after alternating wins and losses in each of their last 7 games following a 71-55 win over Wyoming in their last outing. Sam Merrill led the Aggies with 22 points on 8 of 14 shooting with team-highs of 8 rebounds and 4 assists while Neemias Queta added 14 points on an efficient 6 of 7 shooting with 5 rebounds and a pair of blocks. Dwayne Brown Jr. added 13 points on 6 of 8 shooting with 6 rebounds while Diogo Brito chipped in 10 points and 3 steals to round out the group of double-digit scorers for the Aggies in the win. Quinn Taylor added 7 points and 4 assists of his own as well in the victory. Merrill leads Utah State with an average of 19.3 points and 4 assists per game while Queta leads the Aggies in rebounding with 7.9 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Utah State is averaging 78.5 points per game on 47.3% shooting from the field, 33% from behind the 3-point line and 74.7% from the foul line this season. The Aggies are also tough on defense, allowing just 65.3 points per game on the 6th-lowest field goal percentage against in D-I, allowing opponents to shoot just 37.2% from the field this season.
The San Jose State Spartans will be out to snap a 6-game losing skid following an 87-64 loss to Boise State in their last outing. Oumar Berry led the Spartans with 16 points on 5 of 9 shooting with a 6 of 7 mark from the foul line and a team-high 6 rebounds while Zach Chappell added 12 points and a team-high 7 assists and Brae Ivey chipped in 11 points with 3 assists to round out the trio of double-digit scorers for San Jose State in the losing effort. Noah Baumann had 7 points and 5 rebounds as well in the loss for SJSU. Michael Steadman was held to just 6 points, but still leads San Jose State with an average of 12.9 points and 8.9 rebounds per game while Ivey leads the Spartans in assists with 3.9 assists per game this season. As a team, San Jose State is averaging 67 points per game on 41.5% shooting from the field, 33.2% from behind the 3-point line and 69.8% from the foul line this season.
Utah State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 41-20 ATS in their last 61 games against a team with a losing record while the under is 21-8-2 in their last 31 road games. San Jose State is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games while the over is 5-1 in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record. Utah State is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings between these two teams and 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings between these two teams at San Jose State.
This is a ton of points to lay with a Utah State team that hasn’t really been getting the job done in terms of covering over the last couple of weeks. However, San Jose State is probably the worst team in the Mountain West this season, and while the Spartans won the last meeting outright, the Aggies have not only won, but covered the previous 9 meetings between the two and a lot of those games weren’t close with an average margin of victory of 19.8 points per game over that span. There are much better options on the board for Wednesday, but if you absolutely have to pick this game, I’d lay the points with Utah State as I have no confidence in San Jose State whatsoever.