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South Alabama vs. Arkansas State - 2/10/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Arkansas State Red Wolves (9-16) at South Alabama Jaguars (12-12)
Date & Time Saturday February 10, 2018, 4:05 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: South Alabama Jaguars -4.5 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
http://usajaguars.com/watch/?Archive=1767&type=Archive
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NCAA BB | Arkansas State Red Wolves (9-16) at South Alabama Jaguars (12-12)
USA TODAY Sports

The Arkansas State Red Wolves and South Alabama Jaguars meet Saturday in college basketball action at the Mitchell Center.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves need a win after splitting their last six games. The Arkansas State Red Wolves are averaging 74 points on 44.6 percent shooting and allowing 77.9 points on 48.7 percent shooting. Deven Simms is averaging 17.1 points and 5.8 rebounds while Ty Cockfield is averaging 13 points and 2.1 assists. Grantham Gillard is grabbing 4.1 rebounds and Rashad Lindsey is dishing 2.4 assists. The Arkansas State Red Wolves are shooting 33.6 percent from beyond the arc and 70.7 percent from the free throw line. The Arkansas State Red Wolves are allowing 36.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.9 rebounds per game. The Arkansas State Red Wolves have lost five of their last seven road games.

The South Alabama Jaguars need a win here to get a game above a .500 record. The South Alabama Jaguars are averaging 68.8 points on 42.8 percent shooting and allowing 67.5 points on 40.9 percent shooting. Rodrick Sikes is averaging 18.3 points and one assist while Josh Ajayi is averaging 12.6 points and 6.7 rebounds. Jordan Andrews dishing 1.2 assists and Herb McGee is grabbing 2.7 rebounds. The South Alabama Jaguars are shooting 32.3 percent from beyond the arc and 69.1 percent from the free throw line. The South Alabama Jaguars are allowing 30.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.7 rebounds per game. The South Alabama Jaguars have won seven of their last eight home games.

The Red Wolves are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Saturday games. The Jaguars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games, 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games and 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games overall. The Red Wolves are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in South Alabama, the underdog is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves have been a tough team to figure out all season long, but they're awful on the road this season where they're allowing 47.2 percent shooting and being outscored by 8.3 points. The South Alabama Jaguars continue to be one of the top defensive teams in the country and have played their best ball at home. South Alabama is also outscoring teams by 5.6 points at home this season. I'll eat the reasonable chalk as more of a fade from Arkansas State. 

Pick:
South Alabama Jaguars -4.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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