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South Alabama vs. Arkansas State - 2/7/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Arkansas State Red Wolves at South Alabama
Date & Time Thursday February 7, 2019, 8:00 PM (EST)
Location
Mitchell Center
Mobile, Alabama
The Line
The Line: South Alabama -4.5 -- Over/Under: 143
TV Channel
ESPN+
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NCAA BB | Arkansas State Red Wolves at South Alabama
John Reed-USA TODAY Sports

The Arkansas State Red Wolves and South Alabama Jaguars meet Thursday in college basketball action at the Mitchell Center.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves could use a win after losing five of their last eight games. The Arkansas State Red Wolves are averaging 72.8 points on 41.1 percent shooting and allowing 79.2 points on 44.2 percent shooting. Ty Cockfield is averaging 21 points and 3.5 assists while Marquis Eaton is averaging 12.1 points and 3.3 rebounds. Grantham Gillard is grabbing 5.4 rebounds and Tristin Walley is dishing 1.2 assists. The Arkansas State Red Wolves are shooting 32.5 percent from beyond the arc and 71.9 percent from the free throw line. The Arkansas State Red Wolves are allowing 34.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.8 rebounds per game. The Arkansas State Red Wolves have lost eight of their last 10 games.

The South Alabama Jaguars could use a win here to get a game above a .500 record. The South Alabama Jaguars are averaging 72 points on 44.8 percent shooting and allowing 73.7 points on 46 percent shooting. Josh Ajayi is averaging 16.1 points and 1.5 assists while Trhae Mitchell is averaging 14.7 points and seven rebounds. Rodrick Sikes is the third double-digit scorer and Kory Holden is grabbing 1.8 rebounds. The South Alabama Jaguars are shooting 35.6 percent from beyond the arc and 63.5 percent from the free throw line. The South Alabama Jaguars are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.2 rebounds per game. The South Alabama Jaguars have won seven of their last 10 games.

The Red Wolves are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games, 4-9 ATS in their last 13 Thursday games and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Jaguars are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. Sun Belt and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Red Wolves are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the underdog is 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The over is 4-0 in Jaguars last 4 overall. The over is 4-1 in Red Wolves last 5 road games.

The South Alabama Jaguars took Arkansas State down to the wire when these clubs met last month, and they've been one of the better covering teams most people don't pay attention to. South Alabama has not only covered five straight games, but it's a team that's 13-7 ATS overall and 8-4 ATS on the road. The Arkansas State Red Wolves are 4-9 ATS on the road this season where they're shooting just 41.5 percent from the field and losing by an average of 12.3 points. While making picks solely based on trends is never wise, there's a lot here to suggest South Alabama is the pick in this contest.

Pick:
South Alabama -4.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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