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South Florida vs. LMU - 3/28/19 NCAA - CBI Semifinals College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
LMU at South Florida
Date & Time Thursday March 28, 2019, 7:00 PM (EDT)
Location
Yuengling Center
Tampa, FL
The Line
South Florida Bulls -4.5 -- O/U: 132
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Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

The Loyola Marymount Lions and the South Florida Bulls meet in a CBI tournament semifinal matchup in college basketball action on Thursday.

The Loyola Marymount Lions come into the semifinals after picking up an 81-63 win over the Brown Bears in their last outing. James Batemon led the Lions with 21 points on 7 of 12 shooting with 4 threes along with 5 assists and a pair of steals. Joe Quintana came 2nd with 12 points along with 3 triples, a team-high 6 assists and 3 steals while Mattias Markusson and Zafir Williams each added 11 points to round out the group of double-digit scorers for LMU in the win with Markusson having 5 rebounds and 4 assists. Eli Scott added a team-high 7 rebounds as well in the victory for the Lions. Batemon leads Loyola Marymount with an average of 16.6 points and 3.6 assists per game while Markusson leads the Lions in rebounding with 6.3 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Loyola Marymount is averaging 67.6 points per game on 45.5% shooting from the field, 31.9% from behind the arc and 75% from the foul line this season.

The South Florida Bulls punched their ticket to the semis after a 66-57 win over Utah Valley last time out. Alexis Yetna led the Bulls with 18 points on 7 of 9 shooting with a pair of threes and 10 rebounds for the double-double while David Collins came right behind with 17 points along with 3 triples and a team-high 5 steals. Laquincy Rideau chipped in 15 points with 4 assists and 4 steals to round out the trio of double-digit scorers for the Bulls in the winning effort. Collins leads South Florida in scoring with an average of 15.8 points per game while Yetna leads the Bulls on the glass by averaging 9.6 rebounds per game and Rideau leads USF in assists with 5.5 assists per game this season. As a team, South Florida is averaging 72.4 points per game on 42.8% shooting from the field, 32.8% from behind the 3-point line and 64.6% from the foul line this season.

Loyola Marymount is 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win while the under is 16-4-1 in their last 21 road games. South Florida is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games while the under is 6-1 in their last 7 non-conference games.

I can understand South Florida being favored here as the Bulls are the more name recognizable team and are at home. However, the Bulls haven’t been playing well enough ATS to call home court an advantage and have had issues against teams that they probably should’ve beaten handily, like taking Stony Brook to overtime in a game that the Bulls frankly should’ve lost being down by 25 in the first half, and only scoring 66 against Utah Valley. Loyola Marymount has allowed an average of 59 points per game in their two tournament games so far, and I think the Lions can keep this one to a tight, low-scoring affair as well, so I’ll take Loyola Marymount and the points in this one.

Pick:
Loyola Marymount +4.5

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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