DePaul at St. John's
|Date & Time||Wednesday March 13, 2019, 9:30 PM (EDT)|
Madison Square Garden
New York, NY
St. John's Red Storm -5.5 -- Over/Under: 155
The DePaul Blue Demons & St. John’s Red Storm will face off at Madison Square Arena this Tuesday night in the 1st round of the Big East Men’s Championship.
The DePaul Blue Demons finished their regular season with an overall record of 15-14 and earned the 10-seed in the Big East Tournament after finishing conference play with a 7-11 record. DePaul came into this season with higher expectations that we’ve seen in the past and although they struggled during conference play, losing 7 of 9 games at one point, the Blue Demons come into postseason play with some momentum as they won 2 of their last 3 games with impressive victories over St. John’s & Georgetown. DePaul has been led by their offense this season which ranks 70th in scoring offense & 55th in FG%, however, the Blue Demons defense has struggled at times keeping opponents off the scoreboard as they currently rank just 263rd in scoring defense & 229th in defensive FG%.
On the season, DePaul is averaging 77.0 ppg on 46.8% shooting from the field. The Blue Demons are averaging 6.9 three-pointers per game on 35.0% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, DePaul has been led by Max Strus (19.0 ppg, 6.1 rpg, 2.5 apg, 1.0 spg), Femi Olujobi (13.3 ppg, 5.3 rpg), Eli Cain (12.9 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 3.6 apg, 1.3 spg), and Paul Reed (11.2 ppg, 8.2 rpg, 1.3 bpg).
Defensively, DePaul is allowing their opponents to average 74.9 ppg on 44.6% shooting from the field. The Blue Demons have a rebound margin of 5.5 and a turnover margin of -1.0.
The St. John’s Red Storm finished their regular season with an overall record of 20-11 and earned the 7-seed in the Big East Tournament after finishing conference play with an 8-10 record. St. John’s started the season on a roll, winning their first 11 games of the season and while they had plenty of highlights in Big East play this season, which included sweeping a very talented Marquette team, the Red Storm will need to regain some of the early season momentum as they enter Big East play losing 4 of their last 5 games. St. John’s was led this season by an explosive offense that ranked 53rd in scoring offense and while their defense did give up some points, the Red Storm did a great job creating turnovers as they rank 12th in steals per game & 4th in turnover margin.
On the season, St. John’s is averaging 78.1 ppg on 45.8% shooting from the field. The Red Storm are averaging 8.7 three-pointers per game on 36.8% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, St. John’s has been led by Shamorie Ponds (19.8 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 5.2 apg, 2.6 spg), Mustapha Heron (15.0 ppg, 4.7 rpg, 1.4 apg, 1.0 spg), LJ Figueroa (14.6 ppg, 6.3 rpg, 1.8 apg, 1.9 spg), and Justin Simon (10.0 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 3.2 apg, 1.4 spg).
Defensively, St. John’s is allowing their opponents to average 74.9 ppg on 44.6% shooting from the field. The Red Storm have a rebound margin of 5.5 and a turnover margin of -1.0.
The Blue Demons are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, however, are just 6-20 ATS in their last 26 neutral site games. The Red Storm are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 Wednesday games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss.
DePaul was able to defeat St. John’s in both their regular season games as the Blue Demons won on the road by a 79-71 margin in mid-January while defeating the Red Storm at home by a 92-83 margin in early March.
DePaul has a solid offense team, led by Max Strus who dropped 43-points in his last meeting against the Red Storm, however, this is a team that has really struggled on the road this season, posting just a 3-8 record and although this is technically a “neutral court” game, we all know it’s a home game for the Red Storm. St. John’s couldn’t pull out a victory against DePaul during the regular season, however, it’s important to note that in their first game, St. John’s was without their leading scoring Shamorie Ponds and during their 2nd outing, they just got back Mustapha Heron who looked a little rusty after missing two games due to injury. St. John’s has struggled down the stretch, however, this is a team that generally plays at a different level when at Madison Square Garden and between the fact that the Red Storm can’t afford a loss in the opening round if they want an at-large bid and that I think their offense will have no problem putting up plenty of points, I’m taking St. John’s to cover this spread. Good Luck!