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St.Louis vs. Dayton - 2/5/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Dayton at St.Louis
Date & Time Tuesday February 5, 2019, 9:00 PM (EST)
Chaifetz Arena
St. Louis, MO
The Line
Saint Louis Billikens -2 -- Over/Under: 132
TV Channel
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John Reed-USA TODAY Sports

The Dayton Flyers and the Saint Louis Billikens meet in A-10 college basketball action from the Chaifetz Arena on Tuesday night.

The Dayton Flyers come into this game looking to build on their current 3-game winning streak after a 68-64 win over Duquesne in their last outing. Obi Toppin led the Flyers with 26 points on 11 of 16 shooting with 5 rebounds and 4 steals while Jalen Crutcher added 16 points with 3 threes and a team-high 4 assists as the only other Dayton player to score in double figures in the winning effort. Josh Cunningham was held to just 3 points but did grab a team-high 10 rebounds and still leads the Flyers with an average of 14.2 points per game. Trey Landers leads Dayton in rebounding with 7.3 rebounds per game and the aforementioned Crutcher leads Dayton in assists with 5.9 assists per game this season. As a team, Dayton is averaging 74.5 points per game on 50.1% shooting, which is the 4th-best field goal percentage in D-I this season, along with a 32.6% mark from 3-point range and 67.9% from the foul line this season.

The Saint Louis Billikens will be looking to stop the bleeding after a 4-game losing streak following a 65-54 loss to Rhode Island in their last outing. Jordan Goodwin led the Billikens with 17 points on 8 of 15 shooting with 8 rebounds while Hasahn French added 15 points on 7 of 13 shooting with 10 rebounds and a pair of blocks for a double-double as the only other Saint Louis player to score in double figures in the loss. Javon Bess was held to just 2 points with a team-high 3 assists and a pair of steals, but still leads the Billikens with an average of 15.8 points per game while French leads Saint Louis in rebounding with 8.5 rebounds per game and Goodwin leads the Billikens in assists with 3.5 assists per game this season. As a team, Saint Louis is averaging 66.9 points per game on 41.3% shooting from the field, 30.5% from behind the arc and 60% from the foul line this season.

Dayton is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 games overall. Saint Louis is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 15-3 in their last 18 home games. The underdog is 24-8 ATS in the last 32 meetings between these two teams.

Both of these teams have had issues when it comes to covering the spread against above average competition, but with that said, I feel like we are getting the bucket with the better team here. Saint Louis plays good defense, but the Flyers come into this game in much better form, winning 3 in a row compared to the Billikens who have lost 4 straight. Add in the success that the underdog has had in this matchup for quite some time, and I think you have to take the free bucket with Dayton here.

Dayton +2

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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