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St. Mary's vs. Pacific - 2/7/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Pacific at St. Mary's
Date & Time Thursday February 7, 2019, 11:00 PM (EST)
McKeon Pavilion
Moraga, CA
The Line
Saint Mary's Gaels -15.5 -- Over/Under: 136.5
TV Channel
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The Pacific Tigers will travel to McKeon Pavilion to take on the Saint Mary’s Gaels this Thursday night in College Basketball action.

The Pacific Tigers improved to 13-11 (3-6 WCC) on the season after defeating the Pepperdine Waves, 66-59, this past Saturday. Pacific was outstanding from beyond the arc down the stretch and was able to fight back from a 53-44 deficit with just 8:15 left in regulation to pick up the needed conference win. Pacific shot 47.9% from the field and 52.9% from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Tigers was Lafayette Dorsey who had 20 points, 7 rebounds, 4 assists, and a steal.

On the season, Pacific is averaging 69.8 ppg on 43.6% shooting from the field. The Tigers are averaging 6.1 three-pointers per game on 34.3% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Pacific has been led by Roberto Gallinat (14.7 ppg, 2.8 rpg), Lafayette Dorsey (12.0 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 1.1 apg), Jahlil Tripp (11.2 ppg, 6.0 rpg, 2.8 apg, 1.6 spg), and Anthony Townes (8.0 ppg, 5.3 rpg).

Defensively, Pacific is allowing their opponents to average 70.4 ppg on 46.1% shooting from the field. The Tigers have a rebound margin of 2.8 and a turnover margin of -0.2.

The Saint Mary’s Gaels snapped their 2-game losing streak and improved to 14-9 (5-3 WCC) on the season after defeating the San Francisco Dons, 86-80, this past Saturday. Saint Mary’s was outstanding on both ends of the court in the 1st half and was able to hold off the Dons late in the 2nd half after taking a 47-30 halftime lead. Saint Mary’s shot 55.7% from the field and 42.9% from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Gaels was Jordan Ford who had 26 points, 7 rebounds, and 5 assists.

On the season, Saint Mary’s is averaging 77.0 ppg on 48.6% shooting from the field. The Gaels are averaging 7.9 three-pointers per game on 37.9% shooting from the field. Offensively, Saint Mary’s has been led by Jordan Ford (21.9 ppg, 2.5 rpg, 3.0 apg, 1.5 spg), Malik Fitts (16.3 ppg, 7.8 rpg, 1.3 apg, 1.3 spg), Jordan Hunter (9.1 ppg, 5.9 rpg, 1.0 apg, 1.0 bpg), and Tanner Krebs (8.8 ppg, 4.1 rpg).

Defensively, Saint Mary’s is holding their opponents to an average of 67.0 ppg on 44.5% shooting from the field. The Gaels have a rebound margin of 5.0 and a turnover margin of 0.5.

The Tigers are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 Thursday games, however, are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win. The Gaels are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Pacific has lost 3 of their last 5 games and has really struggled offensively this season as the Tigers rank 264th in scoring offense, 226th in FG%, and T-316 in three-pointers made per game.

Saint Mary’s has won 5 of their last 7 games and has been solid on both ends of the court as the Gaels rank 85th in scoring offense, 20th in FG%, and 69th in scoring defense.

Saint Mary’s isn’t as strong as a team as we’ve seen in recent years, however, the Gaels have been very solid at home this season, posting an 11-2 over record. Pacific has lost their last 4 games at Saint Mary’s by double-digits and as I think the Tigers offense is going to have a hard time putting up points against the Gaels defense in this one, I’m taking Saint Mary’s to cover this large home spread.

Saint Mary's Gaels -15.5

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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