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St. Mary's vs. Santa Clara - 1/17/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Santa Clara at St. Mary's
Date & Time Thursday January 17, 2019, 11:00 PM (EST)
Location
McKeon Pavilion
Moraga, CA
The Line
Saint Mary's Gaels -16 -- Over/Under: 135.5
TV Channel
NBC Sports - Bay Area; AT&T Sportsnet - Rocky Mtn.; ROOT Sports; The W.TV
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Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

The Santa Clara Broncos will travel to McKeon Pavilion to take on the Saint Mary’s Gaels this Thursday night in College Basketball action.

The Santa Clara Broncos dropped to 10-8 (2-2 WCC) on the season after being defeated by the BYU Cougars, 80-74, this past Saturday. Santa Clara struggled defensively agianst the Cougars and trailed throughout the 2nd half after they entered halftime trailing by a 40-33 margin. Santa Clara allowed BYU to shot 49.0% from the field and was outrebounded by the Cougars by a 32-25 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Broncos was Josip Vrankic who had a double-double with 16 points, 10 rebounds, and 1 assist.

On the season, Santa Clara is averaging 71.7 ppg on 45.8% shooting from the field. The Broncos are averaging 8.1 three-pointers per game on 36.8% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Santa Clara has been led by Tahj Eaddy (16.6 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 3.7 apg), Josip Vrankic (13.6 ppg, 6.1 rpg, 1.0 apg, 1.2 bpg), Trey Wertz (11.8 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 5.1 apg), and Keshawn Justice (10.8 ppg, 2.5 rpg, 1.5 apg).

Defensively, Santa Clara is allowing their opponents to average 70.8 ppg on 42.4% shooting from the field. The Broncos have a rebound margin of 0.4 and a turnover margin of -3.6.

The Saint Mary’s Gaels won their 2nd straight victory and improved to 11-7 (2-1 WCC) on the season after defeating the Loyola Marymount Lions, 71-60, this past Saturday. Saint Mary’s was outstanding on the offensive end agianst the Lions and had no trouble securing the victory after taking a 45-26 halftime lead. Saint Mary’s shot 52.1% from the field & 50.0% from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Gaels was Malik Fitts who had 18 points, 4 rebounds, and 3 steals.

On the season, Saint Mary’s is averaging 77.3 ppg on 49.3% shooting from the field. The Gaels are averaging 8.1 three-pointers per game on 39.8% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Saint Mary’s has been led by Jordan Ford (22.6 ppg, 2.4 rpg, 3.1 apg, 1.4 spg), Malik Fitts (14.7 ppg, 8.1 rpg, 1.3 apg, 1.2 spg), and Jordan Hunter (9.7 ppg, 5.9 rpg, 1.0 apg), and Tanner Krebs (9.2 ppg, 3.7 rpg).

Defensively, Saint Mary’s is holding their opponents to an average of 66.2 ppg on 43.8% shooting from the field. The Gaels have a rebound margin of 4.2 and a turnover margin of 1.1.

The Broncos are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win. The Gaels are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games and 10-3-1 ATS in their last Thursday games.

Santa Clara has won 7 of their last 9 games and come into this game ranked 129th in FG%, 70th in 3P-FG%, and 117th in defensive FG%. Saint Mary’s has won 3 of their last 4 games and has been solid on both ends of the court this season as they rank 96th in scoring offense, 19th in FG%, and 48th in scoring defense.

Santa Clara has picked up some nice wins against USC & San Diego this season, however, the Broncos  can at times struggle on the offensive end as they recently put up just 48 points against Gonzaga. Saint Mary’s is 8-2 ATS at home this season, which included a 22-point victory over BYU in their last home game, and although this is a bunch of points, I think Saint Mary’s will be able to win this one by 20 and cover this spread. Take Saint Mary’s to cover.

Pick:
Saint Mary's Gaels -16

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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