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TCU vs. Baylor - 01/05/2019 NCAA BB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Casey Sapio-USA TODAY Sports

The Baylor Bears will travel to Ed & Rae Schollmaier Arena to take on the TCU Horned Frogs this Saturday afternoon in College Basketball action.

Baylor won their 2nd straight game and improved to 8-4 (0-0 Big 12) on the season after defeating the New Orleans Privateers, 84-44, this past Saturday. Baylor dominated New Orleans on the defensive end and had no trouble securing the victory after taking a 37-31 halftime lead. Baylor shot 52.5% from the field while holding the Privateers to just 26.2% shooting from the field & 31.8% from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Bears was Tristan Clark who had a double-double with 17 points, 12 rebounds, 5 blocks, and 2 steals.

On the season, Baylor is averaging 70.5 ppg on 44.9% shooting from the field. The Bears are averaging 6.5 three-pointers per game on 29.0% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Baylor has been led by Tristan Clark (14.3 ppg, 6.5 rpg, 1.3 apg, 1.0 spg, 2.8 bpg), Makai Mason (14.0 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 3.0 apg), King McClure (10.8 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 2.6 apg, 1.9 spg), and Mark Vital (5.8 ppg, 7.9 rpg, 2.0 apg, 1.3 spg).

Defensively, Baylor is holding their opponents to an average of 60.4 ppg on 38.2% shooting from the field. The Bears have a rebound margin of 6.3 and a turnover margin of 0.8.

The TCU Horned Frogs won their 8th straight game and improved to 11-1 (0-0 Big-12) on the season after defeating the Indiana State Sycamores, 83-69, in the finals of the Hawaiian Airlines Diamond Head Classic on Christmas Day. TCU went into halftime with a 40-30 lead and had no trouble securing the victory after taking a 71-49 lead with 9:38 left in regulation. TCU shot 51.7% from the field and forced Indiana State into committing 19 turnovers in the victory. Leading the way for the Horned Frogs was Alex Robinson who had 15 points, 8 rebounds, and 4 assists.

On the season, TCU is averaging 80.2 ppg on 49.4% shooting from the field. The Horned Frogs are averaging 7.7 three-pointers per game on 34.6% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, TCU has been led by Desmond Bane (13.8 ppg, 5.5 rpg, 3.2 apg, 1.1 spg), Kouat Noi (13.7 ppg, 4.8 rpg, 1.3 apg, 1.2 spg), Alex Robinson (13.1 ppg, 3.7 rpg, 8.6 apg, 1.8 spg), and Jaylen Fisher (12.1 ppg, 2.4 rpg, 2.7 apg, 1.0 spg).

Defensively, TCU is holding their opponents to an average of 64.8 ppg on 39.5% shooting from the field. The Horned Frogs have a rebound margin of 5.2 and a turnover margin of 3.0.

The Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games, however, just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. The Horned Frogs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games and 10-0-1 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win.

Baylor has won 3 of their last 4 games, which included solid wins against both Arizona & Oregon. Baylor can struggled offensively as they rank just T-269th in scoring offense, however, the Bears have one of the better defenses in the country as they rank 13th in scoring defense, 18th in defensive FG%, and 2nd in blocks per game. TCU is fully healthy and have been crushing opponents as during their 8-game winning streak the Horned Frogs are defeating their opponents by an average of 20.5 ppg. TCU has been solid on both ends of the court as they come into this match-up ranked 58th in scoring offense & 46th in Scoring defense.

I’m a bit concerned about the Baylor offense against the solid TCU defense, however, this is a bunch of points for TCU to cover against one of the better defenses in the country and as I do think the Bears defense will give TCU some trouble, I’m taking the Bears and the points in this one.  Good Luck!

Pick:
Baylor Bears +9.5

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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