Oklahoma State at TCU
|Date & Time||Wednesday March 13, 2019, 7:00 PM (EDT)|
Kansas City, MO
TCU Horned Frogs -3.5 -- O/U: 139.5
The Oklahoma State Cowboys and the TCU Horned Frogs meet in a Big 12 tournament first round matchup in college basketball action from the Sprint Center on Wednesday evening.
The Oklahoma State Cowboys enter the tournament as the #9 seed, finishing with a 12-19 overall record, including 5-13 in conference play. Oklahoma State had some tough opposition in the non-conference part of their schedule with wins over LSU and Memphis as well as losses to Villanova, Minnesota, Tulsa, Houston and Nebraska. Oklahoma State started by splitting their first 4 conference games but hit a spell of 11 losses in 13 games before winning back-to-back games to finish the season. Cameron McGriff leads Oklahoma State in scoring and rebounding with 12.5 points and 7.4 rebounds per game while Lindy Waters III had 11.9 points per game and Thomas Dziagwa added 11.7 points per game to round out Oklahoma State’s trio of double digit scorers this season. Isaac Likekele leads the Cowboys in assists with 4 assists per game this season. As a team, Oklahoma State is averaging 68 points per game on 42.3% shooting from the field, 37.6% from behind the 3-point line and 68.9% from the foul line this season.
The TCU Horned Frogs come into the conference tournament as the #8 seed, finishing with a 19-12 overall record, including a 7-11 record in conference play, losing out on a tiebreaker for the #7 seed to a tiebreaker with Oklahoma. TCU picked up some solid wins in going 12-1 in the non-conference portion of their schedule with wins over Fresno State, Central Michigan, Eastern Michigan, USC and SMU to name a few. Consistency was a big part of TCU’s conference season, or a lack of consistency after splitting their first 12 conference games, the Horned Frogs would lose 5 of 7 games to finish the season, ending the year below .500 in conference play. Desmond Bane led the Horned Frogs in scoring with 15.2 points per game while Kouat Noi chipped in 14.1 points per game and Alex Robinson added 12.7 points with a team-high 6.9 assists per game this season. JD Miller was TCU’s 4th and final double-digit scorer, averaging 11 points per game while Kevin Samuel had a team-high 7 rebounds per game this season. As a team, TCU is averaging 74.5 points per game on 45.7% shooting from the field, 35% from behind the arc and 69% from the foul line this season.
Oklahoma State is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record while the over is 5-0 in their last 5 games following a win. TCU is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a losing record while the under is 5-2 in their last 7 conference games. Oklahoma State is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings between these two teams.
TCU is probably the more balanced of the two teams here and should be favored. However, while there are a few wins separating these two teams, I don’t see there being that much difference between the two, especially with how TCU struggled to finish the year. The two meetings this season saw Oklahoma State win outright or lose by 2 points, so in a game that I think ends up being close up until the end, I’ll take a shot with Oklahoma State and the points in a game the Cowboys could win outright.