Tennessee vs. Mississippi State - 3/15/19 SEC Tournament Quarterfinal College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Mississippi State at Tennessee
Friday, March 15, 2019 at 8:30 PM (Bridgestone Arena)
Tennessee Volunteers -5.5 -- O/U: 149.5
TV: SEC Network
The Mississippi State Bulldogs and the Tennessee Volunteers meet in an SEC tournament quarterfinal matchup in college basketball action from the Bridgestone Arena on Friday night.
The Mississippi State Bulldogs will look to build on their second round victory over Texas A&M, taking down the Aggies by a final score of 80-54. Lamar Peters led the Bulldogs with 15 points on 5 of 9 shooting from 3-point range while Tyson Carter added 14 points and Quinndary Weatherspoon had 12 points with 4 rebounds and a team-high 9 assists and 3 steals to round out the trio of double-digit scorers for Mississippi State in the win. Aric Holman had 9 points with 5 rebounds while Robert Woodard added 9 points with a team-high 8 rebounds as well in the victory. Heading into Thursday, Quinndary Weatherspoon led the Bulldogs in scoring with 18.5 points per game while Peters led Mississippi State in assists with 5.3 assists per game and Reggie Perry led the Bulldogs on the glass with 7.1 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Mississippi State is averaging 77.3 points per game on 47.1% shooting from the field, 37.6% from behind the arc and 71.9% from the foul line this season.
The Tennessee Volunteers come into the 2019 SEC tournament as the #3 seed, finishing the regular season with a record of 27-4, including 15-3 in conference play, tied for the 2nd best record in the conference but losing out on a tiebreaker with Kentucky. The Vols put forth some solid performances in the non-conference portion of their schedule, with wins over Georgia Tech, Memphis, Louisville and Gonzaga with their lone loss coming to Kansas. The Vols also started conference play with wins in each of their first 12 SEC games before slightly faltering down the stretch, with wins in just 4 of their last 7 games to finish the year and fall from the top spot down to 3rd. Grant Williams led Tennessee in scoring and rebounding with 19.3 points and 7.7 rebounds per game while Admiral Schofield came 2nd in scoring with 16.3 points per game and Jordan Bone came 3rd while leading the Vols in assists with 13.4 points and 6.1 assists per game this season. Jordan Bowden added 10.5 points per game and Lamonte Turner chipped in 10.3 points as Tennessee’s 4th and 5th double-digit scorers on the year. As a team, Tennessee is averaging 82.3 points per game with the 6th-best field goal percentage in D-I, shooting 49.9% from the field, along with 35.2% from behind the arc and 76.3% from the foul line this season.
Mississippi State is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 6-1 in their last 7 neutral site games. Tennessee is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss. The underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these two teams.
I'd like to give Mississippi State a shot here, but the fact is that this situation just doesn't add up for success for the Bulldogs here. This is pretty much a home game for the Volunteers, and in the lone meeting between the two this season, Tennessee won at home by 17 points while holding the Bulldogs to just 54 points. I just don't think that we're getting enough points to consider Mississippi State here, so I'll lay the reasonable number with the Vols here.