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Tennessee vs. Mississippi State - 3/5/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Mississippi State at Tennessee
Date & Time Tuesday March 5, 2019, 9:00 PM (EST)
Location
Thompson-Boling Arena
Knoxville, TN
The Line
Tennessee Volunteers -8.5 -- Over/Under: 148.5
TV Channel
ESPN - SEC Network
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Billy Hurst-USA TODAY Sports

The Mississippi State Bulldogs will travel to Thompson-Boling Arena to take on the 5th ranked Tennessee Volunteers this Tuesday night in College Basketball action.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs had their 5-game winning streak snapped and dropped to 21-8 (9-7 SEC) on the season after being defeated by the Auburn Tigers, 80-75, this past Saturday. Mississippi State struggled offensively in the 1st half and couldn’t fight all the way back after falling behind by a 51-35 margin with 12:07 left in the 2nd half. Mississippi State allowed Auburn to shoot 47.1% from the field and lost the turnover battle by a 18-10 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Bulldogs was Quinndary Weatherspoon who had a double-double with 25 points, 11 rebounds, and 6 assists.

On the season, Mississippi State is averaging 77.6 ppg on 47.3% shooting from the field. The Bulldogs are averaging 8.4 three-pointers per game on 37.4% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Mississippi State has been led by Quinndary Weatherspoon (18.8 ppg, 5.1 rpg, 2.6 apg, 1.6 spg), Lamar Peters (11.3 ppg, 1.8 rpg, 5.3 apg, 1.7 spg), Tyson Carter (10.2 ppg, 1.9 rpg, 1.5 apg, 1.2 spg), and Reggie Perry (9.8 ppg, 6.9 rpg).

Defensively, Mississippi State is allowing their opponents to average 69.8 ppg on 43.5% shooting from the field. The Bulldogs have a rebound margin of 3.9 and a turnover margin of 0.6.

The 5th ranked Tennessee Volunteers won their 2nd straight game and improved to 26-3 (14-2 SEC) on the season after defeating the 4th ranked Kentucky Wildcats, 71-52, this past Saturday. Tennessee was outstanding on the defensive end against the Wildcats and pulled away in the 2nd half after taking a 54-36 lead with 10:02 left in regulation. Tennessee held Kentucky to 31.8% shooting from the field, 26.3% shooting from beyond the arc, and won the turnover battle by a 17-5 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Volunteers was Grant Williams who had 24 points, 7 rebounds, 2 assists, and a steal.

On the season, Tennessee is averaging 82.8 ppg on 50.2% shooting from the field. The Volunteers are averaging 6.7 three-pointers per game on 35.7% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Tennessee has been led by Grant Williams (19.3 ppg, 7.6 rpg, 3.3 apg, 1.2 spg, 1.4 bpg), Admiral Schofield (16.4 ppg, 6.4 rpg, 2.1 apg, 1.0 spg), Jordan Bone (13.6 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 6.1 apg), and Lamonte Turner (10.9 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 3.6 apg, 1.1 spg).

Defensively, Tennessee is allowing their opponents to average 67.5 ppg on 39.2% shooting from the field. The Volunteers have a rebound margin of 3.6 and a turnover margin of 2.3.

The Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Volunteers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

Mississippi State has won 6 of their last 10 games and come into this game ranked 64th in scoring offense, 43rd in FG%, and 141st in scoring defense.

Tennessee has won 3 of their last 5 games have been solid on both ends of the court as the Volunteers rank 16th in scoring offense, 6th in FG%, and 71st in scoring defense.

Mississippi State couldn’t get it done at Auburn, however, the Bulldogs have been playing well as of late which include impressive double-digit wins against Alabama & South Carolina. Tennessee was impressive in a revenge game agianst Kentucky and comes into this match-up with a perfect 17-0 record at home. I’m a fan of Mississippi State as I think they’re a solid team, however, the Bulldogs are just 5-4 on the road this season and as I think Tennessee will be able to follow-up with another solid performance like we saw from them this past weekend, I’m taking Tennessee to cover this large home spread. Good Luck!

Pick:
Tennessee Volunteers -8.5

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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