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Tennessee vs. Purdue - 3/28/19 NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Purdue at Tennessee
Date & Time Thursday March 28, 2019, 7:29 PM (EDT)
Location
KFC Yum! Center
Louisville, KY
The Line
Tennessee Volunteers -1 -- O/U: 146.5
TV Channel
TBS
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Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports

The Purdue Boilermakers and the Tennessee Volunteers meet in an NCAA tournament Sweet 16 matchup in college basketball action from the KFC Yum! Center on Thursday.

The Purdue Boilermakers reached the Sweet 16 after picking up an 87-61 win over the defending champion Villanova Wildcats in the second round. Carsen Edwards led the Boilermakers with 42 points on 12 of 21 shooting with 9 threes and 6 rebounds while Matt Haarms added 18 points and a team-high 9 rebounds. Ryan Cline chipped in 12 points with 4 triples to round out the trio of double-digit scorers for Purdue in the win while Grady Eifert added 5 points to match his team-high 5 assists along with 7 rebounds. Edwards leads Purdue in scoring with 23.6 points per game while Cline leads the Boilermakers in assists with 3.4 assists per game and Nojel Eastern leads Purdue in rebounding with 5.6 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Purdue is averaging 76.1 points per game on 44.7% shooting from the field, 36.8% shooting from behind the 3-point line and 73.2% from the foul line this season.

The Tennessee Volunteers come into the Sweet 16 after narrowly escaping with an 83-77 win over Iowa in the second round. Grant Williams and Admiral Schofield each had 19 points, with Williams shooting 7 of 13 with 7 rebounds, a team-high 5 assists, 4 steals and 3 blocks while Schofield shot 7 of 15 with 3 triples. Lamonte Turner added 15 points with 3 threes and 6 rebounds while Jordan Bone had 14 points to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Tennessee in the win. Kyle Alexander added 8 points and a team-high 9 rebounds as well in the victory. Williams leads Tennessee in scoring and rebounding with 18.8 points and 7.5 rebounds per game while Bone leads the Volunteers in assists with 5.9 assists per game this season. As a team, Tennessee is averaging 81.7 points per game on 49.6% shooting from the field, which is the 6th-best field goal percentage in the country, 36.2% from behind the 3-point line and 76.4% from the foul line this season.

Purdue is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 40-19 ATS in their last 59 non-conference games while the over is 5-1 in their last 6 games against the SEC. Tennessee is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 NCAA tournament games while the over is 5-0 in their last 5 neutral site games.

I’m a bit gunshy to jump right back on board with the Volunteers, especially after nearly blowing it against Iowa when Tennessee had a 25-point lead and let it slip away, eventually letting the game go to overtime. And with how Purdue can shoot the 3, the Boilermakers are definitely the kind of team that can make you pay for that. However, Tennessee in my opinion is still the more balanced and physical team of the two. Edwards shot the lights out against Villanova and that’s all well and good, but if he struggles to score, it’s a lot harder for the rest of the team to pick up the slack against a team like Tennessee that can wear you down. The line is almost essentially a pick ‘em, and if forced to pick between the two, I still trust Tennessee’s depth more, so I’ll lay the point with the Vols in this spot.

Pick:
Tennessee -1

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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