Texas-Arlington vs. Arkansas-Little Rock - 1/19/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Arkansas-Little Rock at Texas-Arlington
Saturday, January 19, 2019 at 3:00 PM (College Park Center)
UT Arlington Mavericks -3.5 -- Over/Under: 142.5
The Little Rock Trojans will travel to College Park Center to take on the UT Arlington Mavericks this Saturday afternoon in College Basketball action.
The Little Rock Trojans had their 2-game winning streak snapped and dropped to 7-11 (2-3 Sun Belt) on the season after being defeated by the Texas State Bobcats, 80-62, this past Thursday. Little Rock led by a 31-30 margin at halftime however, struggled defensively in the 2nd half and couldn’t fight back after Texas State took a 55-39 lead with 14:37 remaining in regulation. Little Rock shot 45.7% from the field while allowing Texas State to shoot 53.2% from the field & 50.0% from beyond the arc in the loss. Leading the way for the Trojans was Rayjon Tucker who had 18 points, 3 rebounds, 3 steals, and a block.
On the season, Little Rock is averaging 77.4 ppg on 49.7% shooting from the field. The Trojans are averaging 7.2 three-pointers per game on 36.8% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Little Rock has been led by Rayjon Tucker (20.0 ppg, 6.8 rpg, 2.1 apg, 1.1 spg), Markquis Nowell (12.1 ppg, 3.3 rpg, 4.4 apg, 1.5 spg), Nikola Maric (10.6 ppg, 3.7 rpg, 1.9 apg), and Jaizec Lottie (8.6 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 4.1 apg, 1.6 spg).
Defensively, Little Rock is allowing their opponents to average 77.2 ppg on 43.7% shooting from the field. The Trojans have a rebound margin of -0.5 and a turnover margin of -1.6.
The UT Arlington Mavericks won their 3rd straight game and improved to 7-11 (3-2 Sun Belt) on the season after defeating the Arkansas State Red Wolves, 68-59, this past Thursday. UT Arlington was outstanding defensively in the 1st half against the Red Wolves and had no trouble securing the victory after taking a 27-18 halftime lead. UT Arlington held Arkansas State to just 27.3% shooting from beyond the arc and forced the Red Wolves into committing 20 turnovers in the victory. Leading the way for the Mavericks was Edric Dennis who had 25 points, 6 rebounds, 3 assists, and a steal.
On the season, UT Arlington is averaging 65.1 ppg on 38.7% shooting from the field. The Mavericks are averaging 6.2 three-pointers per game on 25.9% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, UT Arlington has been led by Edric Dennis (14.4 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 1.7 apg, 1.1 spg), Brian Warren (13.5 ppg, 2.3 rpg, 3.2 apg, 1.0 spg), David Azore (8.4 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 1.6 apg), and Andres Ibarguen (7.0 ppg, 7.0 rpg, 1.0 bpg).
Defensively, UT Arlington is allowing their opponents to average 69.9 ppg on 44.1% shooting from the field. The Mavericks have a rebound margin of 0.8 and a turnover margin of -0.7.
The Trojans are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. The Mavericks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Little Rock has lost 5 of their last 7 games and although their offense has been solid, ranking 93rd in scoring offense & 15th in FG%, the Trojans haven’t been able to overcome a defense that ranks 292nd in scoring defense and 293rd in turnover margin. UT Arlington has won 4 of their last 7 games and although their offense can struggle to put up points as they rank just 327th in scoring offense, the defense has been solid as they rank T-140th in scoring defense and T-99th in steals per game.
Little Rock has an offense that can put up points, however, I just can’t trust the Trojans defense, even against a UT Arlington offense that has struggled to put up points this season. UT Arlington is a rebuilding program, however, there are playing some of their best basketball of the season as of late after wins on the road agianst Appalachian St. & Coastal Carolina and I think the Mavericks will do enough at home to cover this small spread. Take UT Arlington to cover here!