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Texas A&M vs. Vanderbilt - 3/13/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Vanderbilt at Texas A&M
Date & Time Wednesday March 13, 2019, 9:00 PM (EDT)
Bridgestone Arena
Nashville, TN
The Line
Texas A&M Aggies -4 -- Over/Under: 136.5
TV Channel
ESPN - SEC Network
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Brett Rojo-USA TODAY Sports

The Vanderbilt Commodores and Texas A&M Aggies will square off at Bridgestone Arena this Wednesday night in the 1st round of the SEC Men’s Tournament.

The Vanderbilt Commodores had their worst season on record after finishing the regular season with just a 9-22 record and come into the SEC Men’s Tournament as the 14-seed after finishing conference play with an 0-18 record. Vanderbilt picked up a few victories in their non-conference schedule and almost upset Tennessee at home, however, Vanderbilt lost their best player in Darius Garland early in the season and ended up struggling on both ends of the court throughout the season. Vanderbilt comes into postseason play ranked just 278th in scoring offense, 286th in FG%, and 209th in scoring defense.

On the season, Vanderbilt is averaging 68.6 ppg on 42.2% shooting from the field. The Commodores are averaging 7.3 three-pointers per game on 31.7% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Vanderbilt has been led by Saben Lee (12.5 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 3.9 apg, 1.0 spg), Aaron Nesmith (11.2 ppg, 5.6 rpg, 1.4 apg), Simisola Shittu (11.1 ppg, 6.8 rpg, 1.8 apg), and Matt Ryan (8.3 ppg, 2.7 rpg, 1.0 apg).

Defensively, Vanderbilt is allowing their opponents to average 72.5 ppg on 43.0% shooting from the field. The Commodores have a rebound margin of 0.3 and a turnover margin of -3.0.

The Texas A&M Aggies finished their regular season with an overall record of 13-17 and earned the 11-seed in the SEC Men’s Tournament after finishing conference play with a 6-12 record. Texas A&M had a tough non-conference schedule to start the season which lead to them starting the year out with a 1-4 record and although they did pick up a nice non-conference win against Kansas State and defeated Alabama in both match-up in SEC play, the Aggies had trouble racking up wins in a tough SEC conference. Texas A&M was led by their defense which ranked 196th in scoring defense & 79th in defensive FG%, however, struggled offensively, as they come into this match-up ranked just 224th in scoring offense.  

On the season, Texas A&M is averaging 71.0 ppg on 43.6% shooting from the field. The Aggies are averaging 6.4 three-pointers per game on 30.5% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Texas A&M has been led by Wendell Mitchell (13.5 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 2.3 apg, 1.7 spg), Savion Flagg (13.1 ppg, 7.7 rpg, 2.3 apg), TJ Starks (12.3 ppg, 2.2 rpg, 3.5 apg, 1.2 spg), and Christian Mekowulu (8.4 ppg, 6.4 rpg, 1.1 bpg).

Defensively, Texas A&M is allowing their opponents to average 72.2 ppg on 42.0% shooting from the field. The Aggies have a rebound margin of 1.4 and a turnover margin of -1.2.

The Commodores are 19-43 ATS in their last 62 games overall and just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games. The Aggies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game.

Texas A&M defeated Vanderbilt in their only match-up of the season as the defeated the Commodores by a 64-57 margin at home in early March.

It’s been a season for Vanderbilt to forget and although I don’t hate their match-up agianst a Texas A&M team that can struggle to score the basketball, the Commodores looked pretty deflated by the end of the regular season after losing their last two games by 21 & 36 points. Vanderbilt has been held to 59 points or less over their last 4 games and as I think the defense of Texas A&M will be able to keep them in the 50-55 range, I think the Aggies offense does just enough to cover this spread. Good Luck!

Texas A&M Aggies -4

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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