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Texas State vs. Arkansas State - 1/19/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Arkansas State at Texas State
Date & Time Saturday January 19, 2019, 5:00 PM (EST)
Location
Strahan Coliseum
San Marcos, TX
The Line
Texas State Bobcats -12.5 -- Over/Under: 138.5
TV Channel
ESPN+
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Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports

The Arkansas State Red Wolves will travel to Strahan Coliseum to take on the Texas State Bobcats this Saturday night in College Basketball action.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 8-10 (2-3 Sun Belt) on the season after being defeated by the UT-Arlington Mavericks, 68-59, this past Thursday. Arkansas State struggled protecting the basketball on the offensive end and couldn’t fight back after the Mavericks took a 52-35 lead with 7:07 left in regulation. Arkansas State shot just 27.3% from beyond the arc and committed 20 turnovers in the loss. Leading the way for the Red Wolves was Ty Cockfield who had 16 points, 4 rebounds, and 4 assists.

On the season, Arkansas State is averaging 74.3 ppg on 41.7% shooting from the field. The Red Wolves are averaging 7.4 three-pointers per game on 34.5% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Arkansas State has been led by Ty Cockfield (20.9 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 3.5 apg, 1.3 spg), Marquis Eaton (12.3 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 2.6 apg), Grantham Gillard (9.3 ppg, 5.4 rpg, 1.0 spg), and Tristin Walley (6.8 ppg, 4.8 rpg, 1.1 apg).

Defensively, Arkansas State is allowing their opponents to average 76.7 ppg on 42.6% shooting from the field. The Red Wolves have a rebound margin of 3.1 and a turnover margin of -2.2.

The Texas State Bobcats won their 3rd straight game and improved to 15-3 (4-1 Sun Belt) on the season after defeating the Little Rock Trojans, 80-62, this past Thursday. Texas State trailed by a 31-30 margin at halftime, however, the Bobcats dominated the Trojans on both ends of the court in the 2nd half and pulled away after taking a 57-42 lead with 12:23 left in regulation. Texas State shot 53.2% from the field & 50.0% from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Bobcats was Tre’Larenz Nottingham who had 24 points, 3 rebounds, 4 assists, 1 block, and a steal.

On the season, Texas State is averaging 75.7 ppg on 47.0% shooting from the field. The Bobcats are averaging 8.0 three-pointers per game on 36.9% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Texas State has been led by Nijal Pearson (17.8 ppg, 4.8 rpg, 1.6 apg, 1.3 spg), Tre’Larenz Nottingham (13.7 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 2.6 apg, 1.3 spg), Alex Peacock (8.2 ppg, 6.9 rpg, 2.8 apg, 1.1 spg), and Jaylen Shead (7.1 ppg, 4.8 rpg, 4.9 apg, 1.2 spg).

Defensively, Texas State is holding their opponents to an average of 61.8 ppg on 38.8% shooting from the field. The Bobcats have a rebound margin of 7.0 and a turnover margin of 1.9.

The Red Wolves are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Bobcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.

Arkansas State has lost 3 of their last 4 games and has really struggled on both ends of the court this season as they rank 301st in FG%, 283rd in scoring defense, and T-307th in turnover margin. Texas State has been solid on both ends of the court and have been led by their defense that currently ranks T-12th in scoring defense, 16th in defensive FG%, and 21st in rebound margin.

Arkansas State is just 1-7 on the road this season and comes into this game just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. Texas State is an outstanding defensive team, however, having with the improvement on the offensive end the Bobcats have to be considered one of the favorites in the Sun Belt. Texas State should be able to have their way on both ends of the court agianst the Red Wolves and as I just don’t see Arkansas State putting up many points in this one, I’m taking Texas State to cover this large home spread.

Pick:
Texas State Bobcats -12.5

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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