Texas State vs. Georgia Southern - 1/3/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Georgia Southern Eagles (8-5) at Texas State Bobcats (11-2)
The Line: Texas State Bobcats -4 -- Over/Under: 151
The Georgia Southern Eagles and the Texas State Bobcats meet in Sun Belt conference college basketball action from the Strahan Coliseum on Thursday night.
The Georgia Southern Eagles will look to rebound from back-to-back losses after a 94-90 loss to Dayton in their last outing. Quan Jackson led the Eagles with 24 points on 9 of 18 shooting with a pair of threes and 5 rebounds. Tookie Brown added 20 points on 8 of 13 shooting with 4 threes and a team-high 6 assists while David-Lee Jones Jr. added 17 points on 6 of 10 shooting with 3 threes and Isaiah Crawley added 16 points on 6 of 9 shooting with a pair of threes to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Georgia Southern in the losing effort. Brown leads the Eagles with 16.9 points and 5 assists per game while Montae Glenn leads Georgia Southern with 6.5 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Georgia Southern is averaging the 10th-most points per game in the country, putting up 87.2 points per game while owning the 8th-best field goal percentage in D-I, shooting 51.2% from the field, 31.4% from behind the arc and 65.2% from the foul line this season.
The Texas State Bobcats will look to build on their 11-2 start to the year after a 105-29 destruction of subdivision Howard Payne in their last outing. Tre’Larenz Nottingham and Nijal Pearson each had a team-high 22 points, with Nottingham shooting 6 of 10 with 4 threes and 5 steals in just 15 minutes while Pearson shot 9 of 14 with 3 threes. Eric Terry and Shelby Adams each had 11 points to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Texas State in the win, with Terry shooting 5 of 7 in 13 minutes while Adams added 10 rebounds, 3 assists and 3 steals. Jaylen Shead added 7 points and a team-high 8 assists with 4 steals while Chandler Davis added 5 points and 7 rebounds and Akiem Daschner added 4 steals and 6 rebounds. Mason Harrell added 9 points and 5 assists as well in the win for the Bobcats. Pearson leads the Bobcats in scoring with 19.8 points per game while Shead leads Texas State in assists with 5.2 assists per game and Alex Peacock leads Texas State on the glass with 7.1 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Texas State is averaging 77.4 points per game on 48% shooting from the field, 37.1% from behind the arc and 67.9% from the foul line this season.
Georgia Southern is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games while the over is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games overall. Texas State is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against a team with a winning record and 3-11 ATS in their last 14 home games while the under is 16-5 in their last 21 home games against a team with a losing road record. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
The favorite has had a lot of success between the two teams but the fact here is that 6 of the 7 meetings since 2015 have been decided by 4 points or less, which ironically is where the line sits at the time of posting this article. Texas State has played well this season, hung around with Arkansas on the road and have been solid on defense. However, Georgia State has won 5 of the 7 meetings between these two teams outright, and are battle-tested on the road in their own right, with losses to Arizona, Dayton and UCF on their schedule. I’ll take a shot with Georgia Southern and the points as I see this one being another close affair.