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Texas Tech vs. Kansas State - 01/05/2019 NCAA BB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

William Purnell-USA TODAY Sports

The Kansas State Wildcats and the Texas Tech Red Raiders meet in Big 12 conference college basketball action from United Supermarkets Arena on Saturday afternoon.

The Kansas State Wildcats will look to rebound from a 67-47 loss to Texas in their last outing. Makol Mawien led the Wildcats with 13 points on 5 of 13 shooting with a share of the team lead with 5 rebounds as the lone Kansas State player to score in double figures in the loss. Xavier Sneed added 9 points with 3 threes while Barry Brown Jr. added 8 points, 5 rebounds and a team-high 5 assists. Brown Jr. leads Kansas State in scoring with 13.5 points per game while Sneed leads the Wildcats on the glass with 5.7 rebounds per game and Kamau Stokes leads the Wildcats in assists with 3.2 assists per game this season. As a team, Kansas State is averaging 65.8 points per game on 42.7% shooting from the field, 31.5% from behind the arc and 62.4% from the foul line this season. The Wildcats are also extremely tough on the defensive side of the ball, allowing the 8th-fewest points per game in the country, giving up just 58.5 points per game this season.

The Texas Tech Red Raiders will be looking to build on back-to-back wins after a 62-59 road win over West Virginia in their last outing. Jarrett Culver led the Red Raiders with 18 points on 6 of 8 shooting with a 6 of 6 mark from the foul line and a team-high 6 rebounds while Matt Mooney added 14 points and Davide Moretti added 12 points to round out the trio of double-digit scorers for Texas Tech in the win. Norense Odiase and Tariq Owens each had 4 points and a pair of blocks while Brandone Francis had 8 points and a team-high 4 steals as well in the win. Culver leads the Red Raiders with an average of 19.5 points, 4.1 assists and 5.6 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Texas Tech is averaging 74.3 points per game on 48.4% shooting from the field, 34.8% from behind the arc and 68.8% from the foul line this season. The Red Raiders, like K-State, are also tough defensively, sitting 2nd in the country in scoring defense, giving up just 52.8 points per game, while also owning the lowest field-goal percentage against, allowing opponents to shoot just 33.4% from the field and 24.7% from behind the arc, the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage against in D-I this season.

Kansas State is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 11-5-1 in their last 17 conference games. Texas Tech is 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall while the under is 13-3 in their last 16 games against a team with a winning record. Kansas State is 4-10 ATS in the last 14 meetings between these two teams at Texas Tech.

The trends don’t really favor either one of these teams heading into this game, however, Kansas State has had issues on offense lately, failing to break 60 points in 4 of their last 6 games. Both of these teams are very good on defense, but the difference for me is that Texas Tech is the better team on offense and have won the last two meetings with Kansas State by a combined 35 points. Texas Tech’s lone loss came against Duke and own some solid wins over Nebraska, USC and a road win over West Virginia last time out, while the Wildcats had issues with Texas and struggled to put teams like George Mason and Southern Miss away. So while the line is a bit thick, I’ll lay the points with Texas Tech here as I think the Red Raiders are more battle tested to cover here.

Texas Tech -12.5

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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