Texas Tech vs. Michigan - 3/28/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Texas Tech at Michigan
Thursday, March 28, 2019 at 8:39 PM (Honda Center)
Michigan Wolverines -2 -- Over/Under: 126
The 3-seed Texas Tech Red Raiders and 2-seed Michigan Wolverines will square off at the Honda Center this Thursday night in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament.
The 3-seed Texas Tech Red Raiders (28-6) had no trouble advancing to their 2nd straight Sweet 16 after defeating the 6-seed Buffalo Bulls, 78-58, this past Sunday. Texas Tech did an outstanding job slowing down Buffalo’s high-scoring offense and easily cruised to victory after taking a 51-28 lead with 12:41 left in the 2nd half. Texas Tech shot 48.2% from the field while holding Buffalo to just 36.5% shooting from the field and 33.3% shooing from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Red Raiders was Jarrett Culver who had a double-double with 16 points, 10 rebounds, 5 assists, 3 blocks, and 2 steals.
On the season, Texas Tech is averaging 73.2 ppg on 47.3% shooting from the field. The Red Raiders are averaging 7.1 three-pointers per game on 36.6% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Texas Tech has been led by Jarrett Culver (18.8 ppg, 6.5 rpg, 3.8 apg, 1.4 spg), Davide Moretti (11.5 ppg, 2.1 rpg, 2.5 apg, 1.1 spg), Matt Mooney (10.9 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 3.4 apg, 1.8 spg), Tariq Owens (8.9 ppg, 5.7 rpg, 2.4 bpg).
Defensively, Texas Tech is holding their opponents to an average of 59.2 ppg on 36.8% shooting from the field. The Red Raiders have a rebound margin of 2.2 and a turnover margin of 3.3.
The 2-seed Michigan Wolverines had two solid performances in their opening weekend of the NCAA Tournament, highlighted by their impressive 64-49 victory over the 10-seed Florida Gators this past Saturday. Michigan was outstanding defensively against eh Gators and had no trouble pulling away in the 2nd half after taking a 43-28 lead with 17:50 left in regulation. Michigan held Florida to just 34.5% shooting from the field and outrebounded the Gators by a 42-29 margin. Leading the way for the Wolverines was Jordan Poole who had 19 points, 4 rebounds, and 1 assist.
On the season, Michigan is averaging 70.3 ppg on 45.1% shooting from the field. The Wolverines are averaging 7.9 three-pointers per game on 34.9% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Michigan has been led by Ignas Brazdeikis (14.8 ppg, 5.2 rpg), Jordan Poole (12.9 ppg, 2.9 rpg, 2.1 apg, 1.1 spg), Charles Matthews (12.2 ppg, 5.1 rpg, 1.4 apg, 1.1 spg), and Zavier Simpson (9.1 ppg, 5.1 rpg, 6.8 apg, 1.4 spg).
Defensively, Michigan is holding their opponents to an average of 58.2 ppg on 39.6% shooting from the field. The Wolverines have a rebound margin of 0.8 and a turnover margin of 2.9.
The Red Raiders are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games. The Wolverines are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs. Big 12 opponents.
If you like defense, you’re going to love this game as both Texas Tech and Michigan are two of the best defensive teams in the country. We know offense is going to be tough to come by for both teams, however, in my opinion, the Red Raiders offense has shown more firepower this season and outside of their loss to West Virginia in the Big-12 Championship, have been playing really well over the last month of the season. It’s tough to go against Michigan in the NCAA Tournament, however, as Texas Tech has the defense to give Michigan a bunch of trouble, while also having the best player on the court in Jarrett Culver, I’m taking Texas Tech and the points in this one. Good Luck!