Texas vs. Kansas State - 2/12/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Kansas State at Texas
Tuesday, February 12, 2019 at 9:00 PM (Frank Erwin Special Events Center)
Texas Longhorns -2.5 -- Over/Under: 125
The Kansas State Wildcats and the Texas Longhorns meet in Big 12 college basketball action from the Frank Erwin Special Event Center on Tuesday night.
The Kansas State Wildcats will look to stay hot after winning 3 straight and 8 of their last 9 games following a 70-63 road win over Baylor in their last outing. Kamau Stokes led the Wildcats with 20 points on 5 of 10 shooting with 3 threes along with 6 rebounds and 4 assists while Barry Brown Jr. added 13 points with 3 threes and a team-high 6 assists. Dean Wade added 12 points and a team-high 7 rebounds while Cartier Diarra added 10 points with 4 assists to round out the quartet of double-digit scorers for K-State in the win. Makol Mawien added 6 points and 7 rebounds of his own in the winning effort as well for the Wildcats. Brown Jr. leads Kansas State in scoring with 15.3 points per game while Stokes leads the Wildcats in assists with 3.5 assists per game and Xavier Sneed leads K-State in rebounding with 5.5 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Kansas State is averaging 65.7 points per game on 42.6% shooting from the field, 32.9% from behind the 3-point line and 65.6% from the foul line this season. The Wildcats are also stout on defense, giving up the 4th-fewest points per game in D-I this season, allowing just 59.3 points per game this season.
The Texas Longhorns will look to build on back-to-back wins after a 75-53 win over West Virginia in their last outing. Courtney Ramey led Texas with 19 points on 7 of 12 shooting with 5 threes, 5 rebounds and 4 assists while Kerwin Roach II added 14 points with a pair of threes and 3 steals as the only other Texas player to score in double figures in the winning effort. Dylan Osetkowski added a team-high 10 rebounds while Matt Coleman III had 6 points with 5 rebounds and a team-high 5 assists as well in the win. Roach II leads Texas in scoring with 14.8 points per game while Osetkowski leads the Longhorns in rebounding with 8 rebounds per game and Coleman III leads Texas in assists with 3.5 assists per game this season. As a team, Texas is averaging 72.1 points per game on 43.6% shooting from the field, 33.4% from behind the 3-point line and 70% from the foul line this season.
Kansas State is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 conference games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games while the under is 8-1 in their last 9 games against a team with a winning record. Texas is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Tuesday games while the under is 10-1 in their last 11 games against a team with a winning record. Kansas State is 18-8-1 ATS in the last 27 meetings between these two teams and 10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings between these two teams at Texas.
Unless there’s something I don’t know, I think the wrong team is favored here. Yes, Texas is coming off of back-to-back wins over Baylor and West Virginia and also have a win over Kansas at home, but I still worry that the Longhorns rely too heavily on their defense to win games. That may sound hypocritical backing Kansas State, a team who has defense as their middle name, but the Wildcats have only allowed one team to score more than 70 points on them this season and will be eager to get some revenge after the Longhorns took them down to start the new year. I’ll take the free bucket with Kansas State as I see the Wildcats winning this one outright.