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Texas vs. Texas Tech - 1/12/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Texas Tech at Texas
Date & Time Saturday January 12, 2019, 2:00 PM (EST)
Location
Frank Erwin Special Events Center
Austin, TX
The Line
Texas Tech Red Raiders -1 -- Over/Under: 122.5
TV Channel
Longhorn Network
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Michael C. Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

The Texas Tech Red Raiders and the Texas Longhorns meet in Big 12 conference college basketball action from the Frank Erwin Special Events Center on Saturday afternoon.

The Texas Tech Red Raiders will look to add to their current 4-game winning streak after a 66-59 win over Oklahoma in their last outing. Jarrett Culver led the Red Raiders with 23 points on 8 of 13 shooting with a perfect 7 of 7 mark from the foul line and 13 rebounds for the double-double while Davide Moretti added 12 points and a team-high 3 assists and 3 steals as the only other Texas Tech player to score in double figures in the winning effort. Tariq Owens added 4 points with 6 rebounds and 4 blocks as well in the victory. Culver leads Texas Tech with an average of 19 points, 3.9 assists and 6.2 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Texas Tech is averaging 73 points per game on 48.1% shooting from the field, 34% from behind the arc and 71.1% from the foul line this season. The Red Raiders own one of the nation’s toughest defenses, giving up the 2nd-fewest points per game in the nation, allowing just 53.5 points per game and are #1 in the country defending the field and 3-point shot, allowing opponents to shoot just 33.3% from the field and 24.8% from 3-point range this season.

The Texas Longhorns will look to rebound after a 61-58 loss to Oklahoma State in their last outing. Kerwin Roach II led the Longhorns with 18 points on 7 of 12 shooting with a team-high 7 rebounds and a pair of steals while Jaxson Hayes added 13 points along with 6 rebounds and 4 blocks as the only other Texas player to score in double-digits in the loss. Dylan Osetkowksi added 9 points while Matt Coleman III added 6 points and a team-high 4 assists as well in the defeat. Roach II leads Texas with an average of 13.3 points and 3.5 assists per game while Osetkowski leads the Longhorns in rebounding with 7.9 boards per game this season. As a team, Texas is averaging 71.7 points per game on 43.1% shooting from the field, 32.3% from behind the arc and 67.3% from the foul line this season.

Texas Tech is 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 1-8-2 ATS in their last 11 conference games while the over is 7-0 in their last 7 Saturday games. Texas is 5-11 ATS in their last 16 home games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600 while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 conference games. Texas Tech is 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these two teams and 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these two teams at Texas.

The under may be the best bet considering how these two teams play defense, however the total is still a bit low for my liking. With that said, with this line being almost a pick ‘em, I’m going to side with Texas at home. The Red Raiders, as good as they’ve been this season, have still had issues ATS and have struggled in conference dating back to last year. There’s also the elephant in the room for Texas Tech that the Red Raiders have not won at Texas since 1996. 23 years without a road win against the Longhorns. Sometimes a team just has your number, so I’ll take the free point with the Longhorns here.

Pick:
Texas +1

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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