Texas vs. West Virginia - 01/05/2019 NCAA BB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Texas - West Virginia
Saturday, January 5, 2019 at 9:00 PM (Frank Erwin Special Events Center)
Texas Longhorns -8 -- Over/Under: 141.5
The West Virginia Mountaineers and the Texas Longhorns meet in Big 12 conference college basketball action from the Frank Erwin Special Events Center on Saturday night.
The West Virginia Mountaineers will be looking for a bounce back road win after falling to Texas Tech in their last outing by a final score of 62-59. Lamont West led West Virginia with 22 points on 6 of 9 shooting with 4 threes and 7 rebounds while Derek Culver added 12 points along with 8 rebounds as the only other Mountaineer to score in double figures in the losing effort. Esa Ahmad was held to just 6 points and 5 rebounds, but still leads West Virginia with an average of 13.6 points, 5.7 rebounds and 2 assists per game this season. As a team, West Virginia is averaging 77.8 points per game on 42.6% shooting from the field, 33.6% from behind the arc and 68.8% from the foul line this season.
The Texas Longhorns will look to build some steam after winning back-to-back games and 4 of their last 5 games after a 67-47 win over Kansas State in their last outing. Jase Febres led Texas with 23 points on 8 of 10 shooting with 7 threes while Kerwin Roach II added 10 points and 4 assists as the only other Texas player to score in double figures in the winning effort. Jaxson Hayes added 9 points, 11 rebounds and a pair of blocks, while Dylan Osetkowski and Matt Coleman III each had 6 points, with Osetkowski adding 6 rebounds while Coleman III had a team-high 7 assists in the win. Coleman III leads Texas with an average of 10 points and 3.2 assists per game while Osetkowski leads Texas in rebounding with 8.3 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Texas is averaging 73.5 points per game on 42.9% shooting from the field, 33.5% from behind the arc and 66.4% from the foul line this season.
West Virginia is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games against a team with a winning record while the over is 5-2 in their last 7 conference games. Texas is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games while the under is 8-3 in their last 11 home games. West Virginia is 2-10-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings between these two teams and 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these two teams at Texas.
This feels like a lot of points to lay with a Texas team that doesn’t usually light up the scoreboard. However, this West Virginia team just feels different than past years, and not in a good way. Morgantown isn’t a feared place to go on the road and play, and the press defense isn’t working for the Mountaineers like it used to. Texas on the other hand has been playing rock solid defense all season long and have been stifling teams left and right, just ask Kansas State. Add in the fact that the Mountaineers have had literally little to no success ATS against the Longhorns in recent years, especially in Texas, and I think you have to lay the points with the Longhorns here.