Skip to main content

Toledo vs. Ball State - 01/04/2019 NCAA BB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Matt Cashore-USA TODAY Sports

The Ball State Cardinals will travel to Savage Arena to take on the Toledo Rockets this Friday night in College Basketball action.

The Ball State Cardinals won their 3rd straight game and improved to 9-4 (0-0 MAC) on the season after defeating the Delaware St. Hornets, 116-57, this past Saturday. Ball State had no trouble finding ways to put points up on the board against the Delaware State defense, and had no trouble securing the victory after they raced out to a 31-2 lead to start the game. Ball State shot 55.7% from the field & 50.0% from beyond the arc while holding Delaware State to just 30.1% shooting from the field. Leading the way for the Cardinals was Tayler Persons who had 16 points, 4 rebounds, 7 assists, & 1 steal.

On the season, Ball State is averaging 84.5 ppg on 51.3% shooting from the field. The Cardinals are averaging 7.8 three-pointers per game on 38.4% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Ball State has been led by Tayler Persons (16.8 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 5.2 apg, 1.1 spg), K.J. Walton (15.0 ppg, 4.8 rpg, 1.3 apg), Tahjai Teague (14.5 ppg, 7.2 rpg, 1.2 apg, 1.2 spg), and Trey Moses (8.6 ppg, 6.5 rpg, 2.0 apg).

Defensively, Ball State is allowing their opponents to average 72.8 ppg on 41.2% shooting from the field. The Cardinal have a rebound margin of 5.4 and a turnover margin of -1.1.

The Toledo Rockets won their 10th straight game and improved to 12-1 (0-0 MAC) on the season after defeating the Pennsylvania Quakers, 77-45, this past Saturday. Toledo led by a 34-27 margin at halftime and had no trouble securing the victory in the 2nd half after dominating the Quakers on both ends of the court. Toledo shot 49.2% from the field while holding Pennsylvania to just 30.5% shooting from the field and 22.7% shooting from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Rockets was Jaelan Sanford who had 15 points, 2 rebounds, & 3 assists.

On the season, Toledo is averaging 82.8 ppg on 46.6% shooting from the field. The Rockers are averaging 10.2 three-pointers per game on 39.2% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Toledo has been led by Jaelen Sanford (17.8 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 3.2 apg), Nate Navigato (13.6 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 3.1 apg), Willie Jackson (11.1 ppg, 10.8 rpg, 1.7 apg), and Luke Knapke (10.2 ppg, 6.5 rpg, 1.6 apg, 1.0 bpg).

Defensively, Toledo is holding their opponents to an average of 65.2 ppg on 40.0% shooting from the field. The Rockets have a rebound margin of 7.2 and a turnover margin of 0.2.

The Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall & 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Rockets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Ball State & Toledo are arguably the two best teams in the MAC conference this season so this should be an entertaining matchup. Ball State has an explosive offense led by Tayler Persons that ranks 21st in scoring offense & 6th in FG%, however, the Cardinals can give up some points as they currently rank just 213th in scoring offense. Toledo is coming off their most impressive victory of the season agianst a very good Pennsylvania team that recently knocked off Villanova. Toledo has been outstanding on both ends of the court this season, as they rank 33rd in scoring offense, 52nd in scoring defense, & 19th in defensive FG%. Toledo has been great this season, however, this is an experienced Ball State team that had no problems playing on the road and as Ball State has won the last two games at Toledo, I’m taking the Cardinals to at worst cover with the points in this one.

Pick:
Ball State Cardinals +5.5

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

Top 10 Sport Sites