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Troy vs. Texas-Arlington - 3/2/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Texas-Arlington at Troy
Date & Time Saturday March 2, 2019, 3:00 PM (EST)
Trojan Arena
Troy, Alabama
The Line
The Line: Troy +3.5 -- Over/Under: 136
TV Channel
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Mark Zerof-USA TODAY Sports

The UT-Arlington Mavericks and Troy Trojans meet Saturday in college basketball action at the Trojan Arena.

The UT-Arlington Mavericks look for a win after winning 10 of their last 14 games. The UT-Arlington Mavericks are averaging 68.7 points on 40.5 percent shooting and allowing 70.1 points on 42.6 percent shooting. Brian Warren is averaging 15 points and 3.5 assists while Edric Dennis is averaging 13.9 points and 4.6 rebounds. David Azore is dishing 1.6 assists and Andres Ibarguen is grabbing seven rebounds. The UT-Arlington Mavericks are shooting 29.8 percent from beyond the arc and 74.2 percent from the free throw line. The UT-Arlington Mavericks are allowing 30.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37.7 rebounds per game. The UT-Arlington Mavericks have split their last six road games.

The Troy Trojans need a win here after losing eight of their last nine games. The Troy Trojans are averaging 73.1 points on 45.6 percent shooting and allowing 75 points on 44.7 percent shooting. Jordon Varnado is averaging 21.5 points and 2.5 assists while Alex Hicks is averaging 12.5 points and 8.1 rebounds. Javan Johnson is the third double-digit scorer and B.J. Miller is dishing 2.7 assists. The Troy Trojans are shooting 34 percent from beyond the arc and 71.7 percent from the free throw line. The Troy Trojans are allowing 37.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34 rebounds per game. The Troy Trojans have lost four of their last six home games.

The Mavericks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games, 11-3 ATS in their last 14 vs. Sun Belt and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games overall. The Trojans are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games, 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 vs. Sun Belt and 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall. The Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The under is 4-0 in Trojans last 4 overall. The under is 23-8 in Mavericks last 31 overall.

The Troy Trojans don't leave many reasons to back them, as they've lost eight of their last nine, are losing by an average of 12.8 points in their last five games and are just 3-10 ATS at home this season. The UT-Arlington Mavericks not only beat Troy earlier this year by 10 points, but nine of their 17 covers this season have come on the road and they're allowing just 41.1 percent shooting in their last five games. These are two teams heading in different directions and UT-Arlington, a possible tournament team, can't afford to stop the momentum. I'll eat the reasonable chalk. 

Texas-Arlington -3.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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