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UC Davis vs. Cal Poly - 1/19/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Cal Poly at UC Davis
Date & Time Saturday January 19, 2019, 8:00 PM (EST)
Location
The Pavilion
Davis, California
The Line
The Line: UC Davis -8 -- Over/Under: 127
TV Channel
Big West
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NCAA BB | Cal Poly at UC Davis
Casey Sapio-USA TODAY Sports

The Cal Poly Mustangs and UC Davis Aggies meet Saturday in college basketball action at The Pavilion.

The Cal Poly Mustangs could use a win after losing six of their last seven games. The Cal Poly Mustangs are averaging 66.2 points on 41.3 percent shooting and allowing 71.7 points on 43.5 percent shooting. Donovan Fields is averaging 17 points and 4.7 assists while Mark Crowe is averaging 10.9 points and four rebounds. Marcellus Garrick is grabbing 2.7 rebounds and Jakub Niziol is dishing 1.3 assists. The Cal Poly Mustangs are shooting 33.8 percent from beyond the arc and 66.4 percent from the free throw line. The Cal Poly Mustangs are allowing 36.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.9 rebounds per game. The Cal Poly Mustangs have lost all eight road games this season.

The UC Davis Aggies could also use a win after losing six of their last seven games. The UC Davis Aggies are averaging 63.8 points on 42.9 percent shooting and allowing 69.6 points on 45.3 percent shooting. TJ Shorts II is averaging 14.7 points and 5.1 rebounds while Siler Schneider is averaging 10.7 points and 1.8 assists. Garrison Goode is dishing 1.2 assists and Joe Mooney is grabbing 2.1 rebounds. The UC Davis Aggies are shooting 30.6 percent from beyond the arc and 67.8 percent from the free throw line. The UC Davis Aggies are allowing 33.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.6 rebounds per game. The UC Davis Aggies have split their last six home games.

The Mustangs are 5-14-2 ATS in their last 21 road games, 15-41-2 ATS in their last 58 vs. Big West and 22-50-2 ATS in their last 74 games overall. The Aggies are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big West and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Mustangs are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in UC Davis and 2-9 ATS in the last 11 meetings. The under is 12-5 in Aggies last 17 overall. The over is 7-3 in Mustangs last 10 overall.

A lot of the games between Cal Poly and UC Davis have come down to the wire, and I'm not looking to lay big chalk with a team that's just 4-11 ATS overall and 1-3 ATS at home. The UC Davis Aggies are losing by an average of 10.8 points in their last five games and 12 points at home this season. Yes, the Cal Poly Mustangs have their issues as well, especially on the offensive end, but laying this much chalk with the Aggies no matter who they're playing makes zero sense. I'll take my points if forced to pick this game.

Pick:
Cal Poly Mustangs +8

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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