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UC Davis vs. San Francisco - 11/6/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

San Francisco Dons (22-17) at UC Davis Aggies (22-11)
Date & Time Tuesday November 6, 2018, 10:00 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: UC Davis Aggies -2.5 -- Over/Under: 138
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NCAA BB | San Francisco Dons (22-17) at UC Davis Aggies (22-11)
Robert Hanashiro-USA TODAY Sports

The San Francisco Dons and the UC-Davis Aggies meet in college basketball action from the Pavilion in Davis, CA on opening night.

The San Francisco Dons will look to build on what many fans would consider a successful 2017-18 campaign after finishing with a 17-14 regular season record, including 9-9 in WCC play, taking down Pacific as the #4 seed in the tournament before losing to Gonzaga in the conference semifinals. The Dons then got an invite to the CBI tournament where San Francisco took down Colgate, Utah Valley and Campbell before losing a winner take all game 3 to North Texas in the finals of the tournament.  The Dons will have to move forward without second leading scorer Souley Boum, who transferred to UTEP and taking 10.9 points with him. Luckily, Frankie Ferrari is back after leading the Dons with 11.4 points and 4.6 assists per game while Matt McCarthy is back as the Dons leading rebounder with 5.8 boards per game and Jordan Ratinho averaged 10.7 points per game for San Francisco last season.

As a team, San Francisco averaged 68.8 points per game on 42.2% shooting from the field, 33.8% from behind the arc and 67.6% from the foul line last season. 

The UC-Davis Aggies will look to improve on an already solid 2017-18 season that saw the Aggies finish 21-9 with a 12-4 mark in Big West conference play, good enough to earn the top spot in the conference tournament. The Aggies took down UC-Riverside in the quarterfinals before falling to eventual tournament champion Cal State Fullerton in the semifinals. The challenge for UC-Davis will be losing leading scorer and rebounder Chima Moneke after Moneke graduated from the program, averaging 18.4 points and 9.6 rebounds per game last season. The Aggies do however bring back a pair of valuable juniors in TJ Shorts II and Silver Schneider after combining for 28.7 points, 6.8 rebounds and 6.6 assists per game last season. As a team, UC-Davis averaged 72.4 points per game on 46.5% shooting from the field, 37.2% from behind the arc and 71.6% from the foul line last season.

San Francisco is 5-12 ATS in their last 17 non-conference games and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 road games. UC-Davis is 8-2-2 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games while the under is 5-2 in their last 7 games overall. 

This should be a great game to kick off both teams’ respective schedules, however I believe that UC-Davis has a slight edge in returning talent, and the Aggies are at home, so while UC-Davis hasn’t been great against the number on their home floor, I think the spread is low enough that UC-Davis is worth the play on Tuesday.

UC-Davis -2.5

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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