UCLA vs. Oregon State - 2/21/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Oregon State at UCLA
Thursday, February 21, 2019 at 11:00 PM (Pauley Pavilion)
UCLA Bruins -2 -- Over/Under: 151.5
The Oregon State Beavers and the UCLA Bruins meet in Pac 12 college basketball action from the Pauley Pavilion on Thursday night.
The Oregon State Beavers will look to build on back-to-back wins and victories in 4 of their last 5 games following a 72-57 win over Oregon last time out. Stephen Thompson Jr. led the Beavers with 22 points on 7 of 15 shooting with 4 threes while Tres Tinkle chipped in 13 points with team-highs of 6 rebounds and 7 assists. Gligorije Rakocevic added 11 points while Ethan Thompson chipped in 10 points to round out the quartet of double-digit scorers for Oregon State in the win. Kylor Kelley added 6 points and 3 blocks as well in the victory. Tinkle leads Oregon State with an average of 20.1 points, 7.6 rebounds and 4.1 assists per game this season. As a team, Oregon State is averaging 74.1 points per game on 47% shooting from the field, 32.3% from behind the 3-point line and 73.5% from the foul line this season.
The UCLA Bruins will look to bounce back from a 104-80 loss to Stanford in their last outing. Jaylen Hands led Stanford with 29 points on 8 of 13 shoting with 3 threes and a 10 of 11 mark from the foul line along with a team-high 4 assists while Jules Bernard added 19 points on 6 of 6 shooting from the floor with a 6 of 7 mark from the foul line as the only other UCLA player to score in double figures in the losing effort. Moses Brown chipped in 6 points and a team-high 7 rebounds as well in the loss. Kris Wilkes was held to 7 points but still leads UCLA in scoring with 17.3 points per game while Brown leads the Bruins in rebounding with 8.8 rebounds per game and Hands leads UCLA in assists with 6.2 assists per game this season. As a team, UCLA is averaging 78 points per game on 46.1% shooting from the field, 33.9% from behind the 3-point line and 62.8% from the foul line this season.
Oregon State is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall while the over is 6-2 in their last 8 conference games. UCLA is 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games against a team with a winning record and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall while the over is 5-1 in their last 6 home games. Oregon State is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these two teams and 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these two teams at UCLA.
I can understand UCLA being favored because they’re at home, but let’s face it, home court hasn’t really mattered for the Bruins here as the Beavers have had the bulk of the success in recent years at Pauley Pavilion. The fact is that while Oregon State has had their ups and downs, the Beavers have still been a much easier team to trust than UCLA so I’ll take the free bucket with what I feel is the better team and I’ll side with Oregon State here.