Stanford at UCLA
|Date & Time||Wednesday March 13, 2019, 9:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: UCLA +2 -- Over/Under: 153
The Stanford Cardinal and UCLA Bruins meet Wednesday in the college basketball Pac-12 Tournament at the T-Mobile Arena.
The Stanford Cardinal enter this tournament losing four of their last five games. The Stanford Cardinal are averaging 72.8 points on 45.8 percent shooting and allowing 71.6 points on 43.2 percent shooting. KZ Okpala is averaging 17.1 points and 5.8 rebounds while Daejon Davis is averaging 11.8 points and 4.6 assists. Josh Sharma is the third double-digit scorer and Oscar da Silva is grabbing 5.9 rebounds. The Stanford Cardinal are shooting 31.9 percent from beyond the arc and 67.6 percent from the free throw line. The Stanford Cardinal are allowing 34.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.6 rebounds per game. The Stanford Cardinal have split their last six non-home games.
The UCLA Bruins enter this tournament splitting their last eight games. The UCLA Bruins are averaging 78.4 points on 45.9 percent shooting and allowing 77.8 points on 42.5 percent shooting. Kris Wilkes is averaging 17.3 points and 1.7 assists while Jaylen Hands is averaging 13.7 points and 3.5 rebounds. Moses Brown is the third double-digit scorer and Prince Ali is grabbing 2.7 rebounds. The UCLA Bruins are shooting 35.1 percent from beyond the arc and 63.1 percent from the free throw line. The UCLA Bruins are allowing 34.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 38.1 rebounds per game. The UCLA Bruins have lost four of their last five non-home games.
The Cardinal are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Wednesday games and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games. The Bruins are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. Pacific-12 and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Cardinal are 5-13 ATS in the last 18 meetings and the favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The over is 4-0 in Bruins last 4 overall. The under is 5-0 in Cardinal last 5 overall.
The home team has won nine of the last 10 meetings between Stanford and UCLA, so guess which team has the most fans in Vegas and go with that. In all seriousness, Stanford is 9-5 ATS this season as a favorite and UCLA is 1-10 ATS as an underdog. You read that correctly. UCLA has failed to cover each of its last six games as an underdog and 13 of its last 15 games as an underdog have restyled in failed covers as well. I don't factor my picks 100 percent on trends, but those numbers are strong enough to fade the Bruins in these type of spots. Give me Stanford.