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UNC Greensboro vs. Samford - 3/9/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Samford at UNC Greensboro
Date & Time Saturday March 9, 2019, 6:00 PM (EST)
Location
U.S. Cellular Center (NC)
Asheville, NC
The Line
UNC Greensboro -6 -- Over/Under: 143
TV Channel
ESPN+; Nexstar
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Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

The Samford Bulldogs and UNC Greensboro Spartans will square off at U.S. Cellular Center (NC) in the Quarterfinals of the SOCON Men’s Championship this Saturday night.

The 7-seed Samford Bulldogs improved to 17-15 on the season and kept their season alive after defeating the 10-seed The Citadel Bulldogs, 100-71, on Friday night. Samford was incredible on the offensive end agianst The Citadel and had no trouble securing the victory after taking a 45-30 halftime lead. Samford shot 60.7% from the field and 45.8% from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for Samford was Brandon Austin who had 26 points, 7 rebounds, and 2 assists.

Going into their game matchup agianst The Citadel, Samford was averaging 77.8 ppg on 46.9% shooting from the field. The Bulldogs were averaging 7.7 three-pointers per game on 37.2% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Samford has been led by Josh Sharkey (16.6 ppg, 3.7 rpg, 7.2 apg, 2.6 spg), Ruben Guerrero (13.5 ppg, 8.3 rpg, 2.1 bpg), Brandon Austin (12.6 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 1.2 spg), and Myron Gordon (12.3 ppg, 2.5 rpg, 1.7 apg).

Defensively, Samford were allowing their opponents to average 75.5 ppg on 41.8% shooting from the field. The Bulldogs had a rebound margin of 0.4 and a turnover margin of -0.9.

The UNC Greensboro Spartans finished their regular season with an impressive 26-5 record and earned the 2-seed for the SOCON Men’s Championship after finishing conference play with a 15-3 record. UNC Greensboro piled up wins behind a solid defense and come into postseason play on a 4-game winning streak, however, it’s going to be difficult for the Spartans to return to the NCAA Tournament after losing by an average of 29.5 ppg in both games against the top-seed Wofford Terriers this season. UNC Greensboro comes into this match-up ranked 74th in scoring offense, 69th in scoring defense, and 2nd in turnover margin.

On the season, UNC Greensboro is averaging 76.9 ppg on 46.1% shooting from the field. The Spartans are averaging 7.9 three-pointers per game on 34.4% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, UNC Greensboro has been led by Francis Alonso (16.6 ppg, 2.3 rpg, 2.6 apg, 1.1 spg), Isaiah Miller (14.8 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 2.3 apg, 3.0 spg), Kyrin Galloway (10.0 ppg, 4.2 rpg), and James Dickey (8.0 ppg, 7.9 rpg, 1.3 apg, 1.3 spg, 2.1 bpg).

Defensively, UNC Greensboro is holding their opponents to an average of 67.3 ppg on 43.4% shooting from the field. The Spartans have a rebound margin of 0.9 and a turnover margin of 5.3.

Samford is just 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games, however, the Bulldogs have been solid ATS this season, posting an overall record of 18-11. UNC Greensboro is also just 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games and finished their regular season with an 13-15 record. 

UNC Greensboro beat Samford twice this season by eight points, and its coming off a dominant win over Mercer in what could have been the Spartans best defensive effort of the season. Samford waxed Citadel on Friday, but the Bulldogs entered this tournament with a questionable defense and in shaky at best form. You have to question if Samford has another solid performance left given the inconsistency. The UNC Greensboro Spartans should have a third straight comfortable win in them over Samford.

Pick:
UNC Greensboro -6

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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