Arizona at USC
|Date & Time||Wednesday March 13, 2019, 3:00 PM (EDT)|
Las Vegas, NV
USC Trojans +2 -- Over/Under: 139.5
The Arizona Wildcats and USC Trojans will square off at T-Mobile Arena this Wednesday afternoon in the 1st round of the Pac-12 Men’s Tournament.
The Arizona Wildcats finished their regular season with an overall record of 17-14 and earned the 9-seed in the Pac-12 Men’s Championship after finishing conference play with an 8-10 conference record. Arizona had a tough year for their standards as although they had solid wins against Iowa State & Montana, the Wildcats suffered a 7-game losing streak in Pac-12 play and come into post-season play losing 9 of their last 11 games. Arizona was led by their defense this season that ranked 99th in scoring defense & T-39th in turnover margin, however, the offense really struggled as they come into this game ranked 222nd in scoring offense, 267th in FG%, and 210th in 3P-FG%.
On the season, Arizona is averaging 71.1 ppg on 42.7% shooting from the field. The Wildcats are averaging 7.4 three-pointers per game on 34.0% shooting from the field. Offensively, Arizona has been led by Brandon Randolph (12.8 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 1.0 apg), Brandon Williams (11.3 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 3.4 apg), Chase Jeter (11.1 ppg, 6.6 rpg), and Justin Coleman (9.0 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 3.8 apg).
Defensively, Arizona is holding their opponents to an average of 68.6 ppg on 44.7% shooting from the field. The Wildcats have a rebound margin of 0.4 and a turnover margin of 2.7.
The USC Trojans finished their regular season with an overall record of 15-16 and earned the 8-seed in the Pac-12 Men’s Championship after finishing conference play with an 8-10 record. USC came into this season with high expectations, especially as the Pac-12 looked a conference with no clear-cut front runner, however, the Trojans have had trouble generating wins and finished their season losing 7 of their last 9 games. USC was decent on the offensive end as they ranked 82nd in scoring offense, however, the defense struggled and currently come into this match-up ranked just 228th in scoring defense & 264th in rebound margin.
On the season, USC is averaging 76.3 ppg on 45.9% shooting from the field. The Trojans are averaging 8.5 three-pointers per game on 38.2% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, USC has been led by Bennie Boatwright (18.1 ppg, 6.4 rpg, 2.3 apg), Nick Rakocevic (14.9 ppg, 9.3 rpg, 1.4 apg, 1.4 bpg), Jonah Matthews (12.5 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 2.2 apg, 1.3 spg), and Kevin Porter Jr. (9.2 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 1.6 apg).
Defensively, USC is allowing their opponents to average 73.1 ppg on 42.5% shooting from the field. The Trojans have a rebound margin of -2.0 and a turnover margin of 1.4.
The Wildcats are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Wednesday games, however, are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games vs. Pac-12 opponents. The Trojans are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 neutral site games, however, are just 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
USC was able to defeat Arizona in their only match-up of the season as the Trojans won by an 80-57 margin at home in late January.
It’s been a disappointing season for both of these teams, however, with the Pac-12 having a down year, both the Wildcats and Trojans have enough talent to make a run in the conference tournament. USC might have dominated the Wildcats in the first match-up, however, the Trojans have picked up just 3 wins away from home this season and have been held under 70 points in 3 of their last 5 games. Arizona in my opinion is the better team in this one and as I think their offense will be able to generate enough points against the Trojans poor defense, I’m taking a Arizona to cover this small spread. Good Luck!