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Utah State vs. Air Force - 01/05/2019 NCAA BB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

The Air Force Falcons and the Utah State Aggies will meet up on the college basketball court Saturday.

Air Force limps in here with a 5-8 record overall. The Falcons are 1-3 over their last four games, beating UC Riverside and falling to Army, Michigan and New Mexico during that time.

In the loss to the Lobos, Air Force’s top scorer was Lavelle Scottie with 20 points and four rebounds. Ryan Swan-Ford doubled up for the Falcons on 14 points and 11 rebounds while Pervis Louder added 10 points.

Over on the Utah State side, they’re 10-4 this year. The Aggies are just 2-2 in their last four games, beating ASU and Eastern Oregon while falling to Houston and Nevada.

In the loss to the Wolf Pack, Utah State’s Sam Merrill led the way on 16 points. The only other Aggies player to hit double-figures in that one was Brock Miller with 10 points, but Neemias Queta did haul in 10 rebounds.

The Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last four following a straight-up loss and 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 following an ATS loss. Air Force is 13-6 ATS in their last 19 versus the Mountain West and the under is 4-1 in their last five overall.

Meanwhile, the Aggies are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last five overall. The under is 4-0 in Utah State’s last four overall and 5-1 in their last six home games.

Aside from pretty nice efforts against Denver and UC Riverside, the Falcons have looked quite limp lately, and they were outscored 38-29 in the first half against a pretty “blah” New Mexico team.

As for Utah State, they’ve mustered just 99 points across their last two losses, but those losses also came to ranked teams so don’t fret about it just yet.

I like the Aggies to bounce back from a poor showing against Nevada and take a cover here.

Utah State Aggies -18

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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