Utah State vs. UNLV - 2/2/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
UNLV at Utah State
Saturday, February 2, 2019 at 4:30 PM (Dee Glen Smith Spectrum)
Utah State Aggies -12.5 -- Over/Under: 148.5
The UNLV Rebels and the Utah State Aggies meet in Mountain West conference college basketball action from the Dee Glen Smith Spectrum on Saturday afternoon.
The UNLV Rebels will look to rebound after back-to-back losses following an 87-70 loss to Nevada in their last outing. Kris Clyburn led the Rebels with 23 points on 10 of 20 shooting with 3 threes and 8 rebounds while Amauri Hardy added 17 points as the only other UNLV player to score in double figures in the losing effort. Nick Blair added 6 points and a team-high 9 rebounds while Noah Robotham dished out a team-high 7 assists as well in the loss. Clyburn leads UNLV in scoring with 13.6 points per game while Robotham leads the Rebels in assists with 4.6 assists per game and Joel Ntambwe leads the Rebels in rebounding with 6.2 rebounds per game this season. As a team, UNLV is averaging 75.6 points per game on 42.8% shooting from the field, 34.2% from behind the 3-point line and 68.2% from the foul line this season.
The Utah State Aggies will look to add to their current 5-game winning streak after a 103-73 win over San Jose State in their last outing. Sam Merrill led the Aggies with 29 points on 8 of 13 shooting with 5 threes and 8 rebounds while Brock Miller chipped in 14 points and Neemias Queta and Tauriawn Knights each had 11 points to round out the quartet of double-digit scorers for Utah State in the win, with Queta adding 11 rebounds for the double-double. Quinn Taylor added 8 points to match his 8 rebounds while also dishing out a team-high 9 assists as well in the victory. Merrill leads Utah State with an average of 19.4 points and 4.3 assists per game while Queta leads the Aggies in rebounding with 8.4 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Utah State is averaging 79.7 points per game on 47.7% shooting from the field, 34.6% from behind the 3-point line and 75.7% from the foul line this season. The Aggies are also one of the nation’s tougher defensive units, allowing just 65.9 points per game while giving up the 7th-lowest field goal percentage against in the country, allowing their opponents to shoot just 38.3% from the field this season.
UNLV is 8-25-5 ATS in their last 38 road games and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall while the over is 5-1 in their last 6 conference games. Utah State is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record while the over is 5-2 in their last 7 conference games. UNLV is 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these two teams.
This feels like a lot of points to lay with Utah State, but the fact is that the Aggies are the much hotter of the two teams right now, winning 5 straight while the Rebels have lost back-to-back games by 17 points each. The Rebels have been a solid fade play on the road for a few years now, and given the fact that 4 of Utah State’s 5 wins during this winning streak have come by double figures, I’ll lay the points with the Aggies here.