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Valparaiso vs. Evansville - 3/2/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Evansville at Valparaiso
Date & Time Saturday March 2, 2019, 2:00 PM (EST)
Athletics-Recreation Center
Valparaiso, IN
The Line
Valparaiso Crusaders -4.5 --O/U: 133.5
TV Channel
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Ben Queen-USA TODAY Sports

The Evansville Purple Aces and the Valparaiso Crusaders meet in MVC college basketball action from the Athletics-Recreation Center on Saturday afternoon.

The Evansville Purple Aces will look to snap a 7-game losing streak after a 98-91 loss to Southern Illinois in their last outing. Shea Feehan led the Aces with 17 points on 5 of 9 shooting with 3 threes while K.J. Riley came right behind with 16 points and Marty Hill followed with 14 points along with 7 rebounds and a team-high 5 assists. Evan Kuhlman chipped in 13 points with 3 threes while Dainius Chatkevicius and Noah Frederking each had 11 points to finish off the scoring in double figures for Evansville in the loss. Chatkevicius had 10 rebounds, 3 steals and 3 blocks for the double-double while Frederking shot 4 of 7 with 3 triples in the losing effort. Riley leads Evansville with an average of 13.5 points and 3 assists per game while John Hall leads the Aces in rebounding with 6.8 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Evansville is averaging 70.3 points per game on 42.6% shooting from the field, 34% from behind the arc and 72.8% from the foul line this season.

The Valparaiso Crusaders could use a win after losing 5 of their last 6 games following a 67-42 loss to Bradley in their last outing. Derrik Smits led Valpo as the only Crusader to score in double figures with 12 points on 4 of 6 shooting. Bakari Evelyn had 5 points with a team-high 3 assists and 3 steals while Javon Freeman had 8 points with a team-high 7 rebounds. Smits leads Valparaiso with an average of 12.4 points and 5.8 rebounds per game while Deion Lavender is the Crusaders’ leading assist man with 3.9 assists per game this season. As a team, Valparaiso is averaging 67 points per game on 45.2% shooting from the field, 32.2% from 3-point range and 69% from the foul line this season.

Evansville is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a losing record while the over is 5-1 in their last 6 road games. Valparaiso is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games while the under is 9-2 in their last 11 conference games. Evansville is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

Evansville hasn’t had much luck lately, so getting a line like this at home with Valparaiso doesn’t seem like a bad idea. However, Valparaiso hasn’t been much better, and home court is only an advantage when you actually make it one, and the Crusaders haven’t been covering games with much regularity at home as of late. Add in the fact that Valparaiso is one of the few teams that Evansville has had some success against, and I think this is a prime spot for Evansville to cover and possibly snap their losing streak with the conference tournament right around the corner.

Evansville +4.5

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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