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Valparaiso vs. Indiana State - 2/13/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Indiana State at Valparaiso
Date & Time Wednesday February 13, 2019, 8:00 PM (EST)
Location
Athletics-Recreation Center
Valparaiso, IN
The Line
Valparaiso Crusaders -4.5 -- Over/Under: 132
TV Channel
ESPN 3
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The Indiana State Sycamores will travel to the Athletics-Recreation Center to take on the Valparaiso Crusaders this Wednesday night in College Basketball action.

The Indiana State Sycamores dropped to 12-12 (4-8 MVC) on the season after being defeated by the Bradley Braves, 96-67, this past Saturday. Indiana State had no answers on either end of the court for the Braves in the 1st half and couldn’t fight back after trailing by a 54-27 margin at halftime. Indiana State shot just 38.3% from the field, while allowing Bradley to shoot 56.9% from the field and 56.0% from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Sycamores was Cooper Neese who had 20 points, 1 rebound, 2 assists, and a steal in 29 minutes from off the bench.

Indiana State is averaging 69.8 ppg on 44.8% shooting from the field. The Sycamores are averaging 5.5 three-pointers per game on 36.5% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Indiana State has been led by Tyreke Key (16.7 ppg, 3.7 rpg, 1.8 apg), Jordan Barnes (15.7 ppg, 4.6 rpg, 3.5 apg, 1.3 spg), Christian Williams (9.1 ppg, 5.1 rpg, 2.6 apg, 1.1 spg), and Cooper Neese (6.7 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 1.0 apg).

Defensively, Indiana State is allowing their opponents to average 72.0 ppg on 44.4% shooting from the field. The Sycamores have a rebound margin of -1.3 and a turnover margin of -0.4.

The Valparaiso Crusaders dropped to 13-12 (6-6 MVC) on the season after being defeated by the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers, 56-51, this past Sunday. Valparaiso led by a 43-34 margin with just 7:41 left in regulation, however, struggled on both ends of the court down the stretch and couldn’t fight back after the Ramblers took a 51-45 lead with just :35 seconds left in regulation. Valparaiso shot just 37.5% from the field and 30.8% from beyond the arc in the loss. Leading the way for the Crusaders was Javon Freeman who had 17 points, 2 rebounds, 2 assists, 2 blocks, and 2 steals.

On the season, Valparaiso is averaging 68.0 ppg on 45.8% shooting from the field. The Crusaders are averaging 6.2 three-pointers per game on 33.3% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Valparaiso has been led by Ryan Fazekas (12.7 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 1.1 apg), Derrik Smits (12.0 ppg, 5.9 rpg, 1.2 bpg), Javon Freeman (11.3 ppg, 4.4 rpg, 2.2 apg, 1.8 spg), and Markus Golder (10.0 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 1.0 apg). The Crusaders will be without Ryan Fazekas who is out indefinitely due to an ankle injury.

On the season, Valparaiso is holding their opponents to an average of 65.8 ppg on 43.1% shooting from the field. The Crusaders have a rebound margin of 0.6 and a turnover margin of -0.2.

The Sycamores are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Wednesday games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. The Crusaders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss, however, are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games.

Indiana State has lost 7 of their last 10 games and come into this game ranked 267th in scoring offense, 197th in scoring defense, and 223rd in defensive FG%.

Valparaiso has lost 6 of their last 10 games and although their offense has struggled putting points up on the board as they rank just 294th in scoring offense, the Crusaders have been solid defensively as they currently rank 46th in scoring defense and 143rd in defensive FG%.

Valparaiso lost by a 70-53 margin at Indiana State earlier this season, however, the Crusaders have been much better at home this season, posting a 7-5 record with solid wins over Illinois State & Bradley. Indiana State has been terrible ATS on the road this season and as I think the Sycamores are going to have trouble putting points up on the board agianst the Valparaiso defense, I’m taking the Crusaders to cover this small home spread.  

Pick:
Valparaiso Crusaders -4.5

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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