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Valparaiso vs. Missouri State - 1/29/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Missouri State at Valparaiso
Date & Time Tuesday January 29, 2019, 8:00 PM (EST)
Location
Athletics-Recreation Center
Valparaiso, Indiana
The Line
Valparaiso Crusaders -1 O/U: 136
TV Channel
ESPN+
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Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

The Missouri State Bears and the Valparaiso Crusaders will meet up in college basketball action on Tuesday.

Missouri State comes into this one at 10-11 on the year. After two consecutive losses to Evansville and Drake, the Bears have won their last pair of outings versus Loyola IL and Bradley.

In the win over the Braves, Missouri State’s Keandre Cook led the team on 16 points and 10 rebounds for a double-double. The only other Bears player in double-figures in that one was Tulio Da Silva, with 12 points and six rebounds.

Over on the Valparaiso side, they’re 12-9 this season. The Crusaders are just 1-3 in their last four games, beating Northern Iowa and falling to Loyola IL, Indiana State and Drake during that span of outings.

In the loss to the Bulldogs, Valparaiso’s Jaume Corolla and Daniel Sackey were the only players on the team in double-figures, with 13 points apiece with a combined five assists and six rebounds.

The Bears are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games and 6-16 ATS in their last 22 versus a team with a winning straight-up record. The under is 6-0 in Missouri State’s last six overall and 6-0 in their last six road games.

Meanwhile, the Crusaders are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 overall and 2-5 ATS in their last seven after an ATS loss. Valparaiso is 1-4 ATS in their last five Tuesday games and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games.

The Bears have been pretty vicious on defense over their last two games, giving up just 11 second-half points to the Ramblers and 37 total to Bradley; not exactly the most exciting brand of basketball, but it gets the job done.

I don’t think Missouri State will be able to assert that much dominance away from home, but considering Valparaiso has failed to hit 60 points in two of the last three games, there’s not a whole lot to push me over to the Crusaders in this one. I’m going to stick with the Bears on the cover here.

Pick:
Missouri State Bears +1

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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