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Vanderbilt vs. Mississippi State - 1/19/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Mississippi State at Vanderbilt
Date & Time Saturday January 19, 2019, 8:30 PM (EST)
Location
Memorial Gymnasium (Vandy)
Nashville, TN
The Line
Vanderbilt Commodores +3 -- Over/Under: 146
TV Channel
ESPN - SEC Network
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Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

The 24th ranked Mississippi State Bulldogs will travel to Memorial Gymnasium (Vandy) to take on the Vanderbilt Commodores this Saturday night in College Basketball action.

The 24th ranked Mississippi State Bulldogs snapped their 2-game losing streak and improved to 13-3 (1-2 SEC) on the season after defeating the Florida Gators, 71-68, this past Tuesday. In a tight, back and forth game, Mississippi State was able to pull off the victory after closing out the final 2:55 of regulation on a 10-2 run. Mississippi State shot 53.1% from the field & 58.8% from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Bulldogs was Lamar Peters who had 16 points & 6 assists.

On the season, Mississippi State is averaging 79.5 ppg on 48.2% shooting from the field. The Bulldogs are averaging 9.4 three-pointers per game on 38.9% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Mississippi State has been led by Quinndary Weatherspoon (16.6 ppg, 5.6 rpg, 2.8 apg, 1.4 spg), Lamar Peters (13.8 ppg, 1.9 rpg, 6.1 apg, 1.3 spg), Aric Holman (12.5 ppg, 8.0 rpg, 1.7 apg, 1.0 spg), and Nick Weatherspoon (10.5 ppg, 2.7 rpg, 2.4 apg, 1.0 spg).

Defensively, Mississippi State is allowing their opponents to an average of 68.9 ppg on 42.8% shooting from the field. The Bulldogs have a rebound margin of 5.6 and a turnover margin of 0.1.

The Vanderbilt Commodores lost their 4th straight game and dropped to 9-7 (0-4 SEC) on the season after being defeated by the South Carolina Gamecocks, 74-71, this past Wednesday. Vanderbilt led by a 39-29 margin at halftime, however, struggled offensively in the 2nd half and allowed the Gamecocks to take the lead for good after a pair of FT’s by A.J. Lawson gave South Carolina a 72-71 lead with :23 seconds left in regulation. Vanderbilt shot 45.5% from the field and 33.3% from beyond the arc in the loss. Leading the way for the Commodores was Aaron Nesmith who had 23 points, 4 rebounds, and an assist.

On the season, Vanderbilt is averaging 77.9 ppg on 45.0% shooting from the field. The Commodores are averaging 7.9 three-pointers per game on 33.3% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Vanderbilt has been led by Simisola Shittu (14.1 ppg, 7.8 rpg, 2.1 apg), Saben Lee (12.3 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 3.6 apg, 1.0 spg), Joe Toye (9.8 ppg, 3.6 rpg), and Aaron Nesmith (9.1 ppg, 5.7 rpg, 1.5 apg).

Defensively, Vanderbilt is allowing their opponents to average 71.0 ppg on 41.2% shooting from the field. The Commodores have a rebound margin of 2.6 and a turnover margin of -0.5.

The Bulldogs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games, however, just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Commodores are 8-19 ATS in their last 27 home games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Mississippi State has split their last 4 games and comes into this game ranked 54th in scoring offense, 39th in FG%, and 116th in scoring defense. Vanderbilt has lost 5 of their last 6 games and come into this game ranked T-83rd in scoring offense, T-166th in scoring defense, and 76th in defensive FG%.

Mississippi State is a solid team, however, haven’t been as strong on the road this season and are just 2-4 ATS in away games on the season. Vanderbilt is still searching for their first conference win and although they suffered a tough blow after losing Darius Garland on the season, I think the Commodores defense will be able to keep this one close and that at worst Vanderbilt covers with the points at home. Take Vanderbilt and the points.

Pick:
Vanderbilt Commodores +3

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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