Vanderbilt - Ole Miss
|Date & Time||Saturday January 5, 2019, 8:30 PM (EST)|
Vanderbilt Commodores -1 -- Over/Under: 153
The Ole Miss Rebels and the Vanderbilt Commodores meet in SEC conference college basketball action from Vanderbilt’s Memorial Gym on Saturday night.
The Ole Miss Rebels come into this game looking to build on their 7-game winning streak after an 87-57 win over Florida Gulf Coast in their last outing. Terence Davis led the Rebels with 20 points on 8 of 14 shooting with 3 threes and a team-high 6 rebounds while Breein Tyree added 14 points on 5 of 8 shooting with 3 threes and team-highs of 6 assists and 4 steals. Blake Hinson, Devontae Shuler and Bruce Stevens each added 11 points to round out the scoring in double figures for Ole Miss in the win, with Shuler adding 5 assists, Hinson contributing 3 assists and Stevens adding 4 rebounds. Tyree leads Ole Miss in scoring with 17.3 points per game while Davis leads the Rebels in assists with 3.9 assists per game and Buffen leads Ole Miss in rebounding with 5.3 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Ole Miss is averaging 79.4 points per game on 50.7% shooting from the field, 38.6% from behind the arc and 75.7% from the foul line this season.
The Vanderbilt Commodores will look to build on back-to-back wins, including a 90-59 win over UNC-Asheville in their last outing. Matt Ryan led the ‘Dores with 19 points on 7 of 14 shooting with 3 threes while Simisola Shittu added 17 points and team-highs of 9 rebounds and a team-high 4 assists. Yanni Wetzell added 16 points on 5 of 6 shooting with a 6 of 7 mark from the foul line, 6 rebounds and a pair of blocks. Saben Lee chipped in 11 points and a team-high 4 assists to round out the scoring in double figures for Vandy in the losing effort. Shittu leads Vanderbilt with an average of 14.4 points and 7.8 rebounds per game while Lee leads the Commodores in assists with 3.8 assists per game this season. As a team, Vanderbilt is averaging 82.9 points per game on 47.3% shooting from the field, 34.8% from behind the 3-point line and 72.6% from the foul line this season.
Ole Miss is 12-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 conference games. Vanderbilt is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 13-30 ATS in their last 43 games overall while the under is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games following a win. The road team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings between these two teams and Ole Miss is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these two teams at Vanderbilt.
I can understand why Vanderbilt would be a favorite here, as the Commodores have gone 8-1 SU at home this season. However, the fact that this line is essentially a pick ‘em, speaks to how well Ole Miss has played this season, going 11-1 ATS and have had success on the road dating back to last season. Add in the fact that the road team has enjoyed most of the success between these two in recent years and that Ole Miss has had all of the luck at Vanderbilt as of late, I think taking the free point with Ole Miss is the way to go here.