VCU vs. Massachusetts - 1/19/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Massachusetts at VCU
Saturday, January 19, 2019 at 6:30 PM (Stuart Siegel Center)
VCU Rams -10 -- Over/Under: 140
The UMass Minutemen and the VCU Rams meet in A-10 conference college basketball action from the Stuart Siegel Center on Saturday evening.
The UMass Minutemen will be out to snap a 5-game losing streak following a 68-63 loss to George Mason in their last outing. Rashaan Holloway and Carl Pierre tied for the team-high with 11 points apiece as the lone pair of double-digit scorers for UMass in the loss with Holloway adding 11 rebounds for the double-double while Pierre hit 3 triples. Luwane Pipkins added 9 points with a team-high 5 assists while Keon Clergeot had 4 assists and Jonathan Laurent had 5 points, 6 rebounds and 3 assists. Pipkins leads UMass with an average of 18.8 points and 5.5 assists per game while Holloway leads the Minutemen in rebounding with 5.9 rebounds per game this season. As a team, UMass is averaging 75.4 points per game on 46.1% shooting from the field, 35.5% from 3-point range and 66.7% from the foul line this season.
The VCU Rams will look to keep their momentum going after winning 5 of their last 6 games following a 76-71 win over Dayton in their last outing. Marcus Evans led the Rams with 17 points on 6 of 13 shooting while De’Riante Jenkins added 13 points on 5 of 7 shooting with 3 threes and a team-high 7 rebounds as the only other VCU player to score in double figures in the winning effort. Issac Vann added 9 points with team-highs of 7 rebounds and 3 assists with a pair of steals while Sean Mobley added 9 points of his own and Marcus Santos-Silva chipped in 8 points with 6 rebounds as well in the victory. Evans leads VCU with an average of 13.7 points and 2.4 assists per game while Santos-Silva leads the Rams in rebounding with 7.1 rebounds per game this season. As a team, VCU is averaging 69.5 points per game on 42% shooting from the field, 29.7% from behind the 3-point line and 68% from the foul line this season.
UMass is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600 while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss. The under is 12-5 in VCU’s last 17 games overall and 12-4 in their last 16 games following a win. UMass is 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams at VCU.
I can understand why VCU is a double-digit favorite here, as the Rams play solid defense and have been solid at home going 9-1 SU. However, the Rams have had issues consistently putting teams away at home, beating Dayton by 5 in their last outing and scraping by La Salle by 6 points. UMass hasn’t been great, but 4 of their 5 true road games have been decided by 5 points or less, including an outright win over a very good Providence team. I think UMass rises to the occasion and keeps this one within reason, so I’ll take the Minutemen and the points here.