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Villanova vs. Providence - 3/14/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Providence at Villanova
Date & Time Thursday March 14, 2019, 12:00 PM (EDT)
Location
Madison Square Garden
New York, NY
The Line
Villanova Wildcats -5.5 -- Over/Under: 132
TV Channel
FS1
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The Providence Friars and 25th ranked Villanova Wildcats will square off at Madison Square Garden in the Quarterfinals of the Big East Men’s Championship.

The 8-seed Providence Friars (18-14) made quick work of the 9-seed Butler Bulldogs in the 1st round of the Big East Men’s Championship on Thursday after defeating the Bulldogs by an 80-57 margin. Providence led by a 38-27 margin at halftime and pulled away early in the 2nd half after a 15-0 Friars run gave Providence a 58-37 lead with 12:05 left in regulation. Providence shot 55.8% from the field and 47.8% from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Friars was Maliek White who had 19 points, 3 rebounds, 5 assists, and 3 steals.

Coming into their game against Butler, Providence was averaging 71.4 ppg on 42.1% shooting from the field. The Friars were averaging 6.6 three-pointers per game on 33.0% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Providence has been led by Alpha Diallo (16.1 ppg, 8.2 rpg, 3.1 apg, 1.5 spg), Nate Watson (11.7 ppg, 5.2 rpg), A.J. Reeves (10.7 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 1.0 spg), and Isaiah Jackson (9.6 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 2.2 apg, 1.2 spg).

Defensively, Providence was allowing their opponents to an average of 69.7 ppg on 43.3% shooting from the field. The Friars had a rebound margin of 1.5 and a turnover margin of 1.1.

The 25th ranked Villanova Wildcats had an up and down season, however, the Wildcats were still able to come out on top and earn the top-seed in the Big East Men’s Championship after finishing the year with an overall record of 22-9 and a conference record of 13-5. Villanova didn’t have the dream start to their season as after losing to Michigan by a 27 points, the Wildcats suffered a shocking home loss to Furman in their following game. Villanova was able to recover from the shaky start and reeled off 10 start wins to start Big East play before finishing the season losing 4 of their last 6 games. Villanova was solid on both ends of the court as they come into this game ranked 120th in scoring offense, 11th in three-pointers made per game, and 61st in scoring defense.

On the season, Villanova is averaging 74.6 ppg on 44.4% shooting from the field. The Wildcats are averaging 10.7 three-pointers per game on 35.5% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Villanova has been led by Phil Booth (18.6 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 3.9 apg), Eric Paschall (16.5 ppg, 6.1 rpg, 2.2 apg), Collin Gillespie (11.3 ppg, 2.5 rpg, 2.8 apg, 1.2 spg).

Defensively, Villanova is holding their opponents to an average of 67.1 ppg on 43.5% shooting from the field. The Wildcats have a rebound margin of 2.4 and a turnover margin of 0.8.

Villanova was able to defeat Providence in both their regular season games as the Wildcats on by a 65-59 margin o the road in early January while winning by an 85-67 margin at home in mid-February.

The Friars are 6-8 ATS on the season as an underdog, however, are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games. The Wildcats are 10-5 ATS in their last 15 games and 19-12 ATS on the season. 

Villanova might not have as many offensive weapons as we've seen in past years, however, they do have some solid players in Phil Booth & Eric Paschall and do a great job of controlling the tempo of the game. Providence looked great on the offensive end against Butler, however, their offense has struggled a bit this year as they come into this match-up ranked just 208th in scoring offense, 292nd in FG%, and 249th in 3P-FG%. Villanova can have trouble putting points up on the board, however, they had some success agianst the Providence during the regular season and as I just don't see the Friars putting up much more than 60 points in this one, I think Villanova will be able to cover this mid-range spread. Good Luck!

Pick:
Villanova Wildcats -5.5

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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