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Virginia vs. Florida State - 01/05/2019 NCAA BB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Glenn Beil-USA TODAY Sports

The 9th ranked Florida State Seminoles will travel to John Paul Jones Arena to take on the 4th ranked Virginia Cavaliers this Saturday afternoon in College Basketball action.

The 9th ranked Florida State Seminoles won their 7th straight game and improved to 12-1 (0-0 ACC) on the season after defeating the Winthrop Eagles, 87-76, this past Tuesday. Florida State allowed Winthrop to fight back into the game in the 2nd half after the Seminoles went into halftime with a 52-36 lead, however, Florida State was able to pull away for the victory after taking a 79-72 lead with 3:48 left in regulation. Florida State shot 46.9% from the field and forced Winthrop into committing 21 turnovers in the victory. Leading the way for the Seminoles was Terance Mann who had 22 points, 7 rebounds, 2 assists, 2 blocks, and a steal.

On the season, Florida State is averaging 81.3 ppg on 47.0% shooting from the field. The Seminoles are averaging 7.2 three-pointers per game on 34.2% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Florida State has been led by Terance Mann (13.1 ppg, 6.8 rpg, 2.0 apg), Mfiondu Kabengele (11.8 ppg, 4.6 rpg), Trent Forest (10.7 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 3.6 rpg, 2.4 spg), and M.J. Walker (8.3 ppg, 2.5 rpg, 1.6 apg, 1.3 spg).

Defensively, Florida State is allowing their opponents to average 68.4 ppg on 42.5% shooting from the field. The Seminoles have a rebound margin of 6.1 and a turnover margin of 2.2.

The 4th ranked Virginia Cavaliers stayed perfect on the season, improving to 12-0 (0-0 ACC) on the season after defeating the Marshall Thundering Herd, 100-64, this past Monday. Virginia had no trouble picking up Tony Bennett’s 300th career win and the Cavaliers cruised to victory in the 2nd half after taking a 50-25 halftime lead. Virginia shot 53.2% from the field and outrebounded Marshall by a 45-23 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Cavaliers was Kyle Guy who had 30 points & 8 rebounds.

On the season, Virginia is averaging 74.7 ppg on 47.5% shooting from the field. The Cavaliers are averaging 8.3 three-pointers per game on 39.1% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Virginia has been led by Kyle Guy (15.4 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 2.0 apg), De’Andre Hunter (14.5 ppg, 5.0 rpg, 2.3 apg), Ty Jerome (14.2 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 4.3 apg, 2.1 spg), and Braxton Key (6.3 ppg, 5.4 rpg, 1.3 spg).

Defensively, Virginia is holding their opponents to an average of just 51.4 ppg on 37.6% shooting from the field. The Cavaliers have a rebound margin of 5.5 and a turnover margin of 4.8.

The Seminoles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games following three or more consecutive home games and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. The Cavaliers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.

Florida State comes into this game ranked 51st in scoring offense & 90th in FG%, however, the Seminoles haven’t poised much of a threat from beyond the arc as they rank just T-225th in three-pointers made per game. The Seminoles do a great job at creating turnovers on the defensive side of the ball and currently rank 103rd in scoring defense. Virginia is once again arguably the best defensive team in the country as they rank 1st in scoring defense & 9th in defensive FG%. Virginia’s offense has been a nice surprise this season as although they rank just 169th in scoring offense, they rank 68th in FG%, 28th in 3P-FG%, and 7th in FT%.

Florida State was able to pull off the upset at Virginia last season and although I think the Seminoles are a better team this season, I really like what I’ve seen on both ends of the court by the Cavaliers so far this season. Virginia’s offense will have it’s hands full with the Florida State defense, however, the Cavaliers do a good job of not turning the ball over and as I think the trio of Guy, Hunter, & Jerome will be able to put some points up on the board, I think Virginia gets revenge from last year’s home loss and does enough to cover this spread. Take Virginia to cover.

Pick:
Virginia Cavaliers -8.5

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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