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Virginia vs. Florida State - 3/15/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Florida State at Virginia
Date & Time Friday March 15, 2019, 7:00 PM (EDT)
Location
Spectrum Center
Charlotte, NC
The Line
Virginia Cavaliers -9 -- Over/Under: 125.5
TV Channel
ESPN or ESPN2 (TBD); RAYCOM Sports
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Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

The 12th ranked Florida State Seminoles and 2nd ranked Virginia Cavaliers will square off at the Spectrum Center this Friday night in the Semifinals of the ACC Men’s Tournament.

The 4-seed Florida State Seminoles improved to 26-6 (13-5) on the season and made reached the semifinals of the ACC Men’s Championship for the 2nd time over the past three years after outlasting the 5-seed Virginia Tech Hokies, 65-63 in OT, on Thursday afternoon. Florida State allowed Virginia Tech to fight back from an early 8-point deficit in the 2nd half to force OT and was able to pull out the win in dramatic fashion after the Seminoles Terance Mann hit a difficult, game-winning jumper with just 1.8 seconds left in regulation. Florida State held Virginia Tech to just 21.1% shooting from beyond the arc and outrebounded the Hokies by a 43-30 margin in the victory.

Coming into their game against Virginia Tech, Florida State was averaging 72.1 ppg on 47.9% shooting from the field. The Seminoles were averaging 8.5 three-pointers per game on 41.4% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Florida State has been led by Mfiondu Kabengele (13.1 ppg, 5.7 rpg, 1.4 bpg), Terance Mann (11.5 ppg, 6.4 rpg, 2.5 apg), Trent Forrest (9.1 ppg, 4.6 rpg, 3.8 apg, 1.9 spg), and M.J. Walker (8.0 ppg, 2.1 rpg, 1.7 apg).

Defensively, Florida State was holding their opponents to an average of 67.3 ppg on 40.5% shooting from the field. The Seminoles had a rebound margin of 4.4 and a turnover margin of 1.3.

The 1-seed Virginia Cavaliers improved to 29-2 (16-2 ACC) on the season and used a big 2nd half to easily defeat the 8-seed NC State Wolfpack, 76-56, on Thursday. Virginia trailed by a 29-27 margin at halftime, however, the Cavaliers offense found their rhythm in the 2nd half and had no trouble pulling away after taking a 57-41 lead with 9:06 left in regulation. Virginia shot 52.1% from the field while holding NC State to just 38.8% shooting from the field and 15.0% from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Cavaliers was Kyle Guy who had 29 points, 4 rebounds, 3 assists, and a steal.

Coming into their game against NC State, Virginia was averaging 72.1 ppg on 47.9% shooting from the field. The Cavaliers were averaging 8.5 three-pointers per game on 41.4% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Virginia has been led by Kyle Guy (15.3 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 2.1 apg), De’Andre Hunter (15.2 ppg, 5.2 rpg, 2.2 apg), Ty Jerome (13.5 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 5.3 apg, 1.4 spg), and Braxton Key (6.3 ppg, 5.5 rpg, 1.1 apg, 1.0 bpg).

Defensively, Virginia was holding their opponents to an average of 54.6 ppg on 37.4% shooting from the field. The Cavaliers had a rebound margin of 5.6 and a turnover margin of 1.9.

Virginia defeated Florida State in their only matchup up the regular season as the Cavaliers won at home by a 65-52 margin in early January.

The Seminoles are 7-1-2 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. The Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 43-17-1 ATS in their last 61 games overall.

Florida State is a team that likes to push the pace and score the basketball, however, if there is one team in College Basketball that can take you out of your game plan on the offensive end, it’s the Cavaliers who come into this game ranked 1st in scoring defense, 3rd in defensive FG%, and 26th in rebound margin. Florida State’s defense could give a Virginia offense some trouble, however, the Cavaliers were able to shoot 43.8% from beyond the arc against the Seminoles in their first matchup. Virginia had no trouble defeated Florida State in their first match-up as the final score of 65-52 didn’t reflect how much Virginia dominated in this match-up and as I think Kyle Guy & De’Andre Hunter will find success on the offensive end, I’m taking Virginia to cover this spread. Good Luck!

Pick:
Virginia Cavaliers -9

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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