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Virginia vs. Purdue - 3/30/19 NCAA Tournament College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Purdue vs. Virginia
Date & Time Saturday March 30, 2019, 8:49 PM (EDT)
Location
KFC Yum! Center
Louisville, Kentucky
The Line
The Line: Virginia Cavaliers -4.5 -- Over/Under: 127.5
TV Channel
TBS
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Thomas J. Russo-USA TODAY Sports

The Purdue Boilermakers and Virginia Cavaliers meet Saturday in the Elite Eight of the college basketball NCAA Tournament at the KFC Yum! Center.

The Purdue Boilermakers have a chance to make the third Final Four in school history and the first since 1980. The Purdue Boilermakers are averaging 76.7 points on 45 percent shooting and allowing 66.9 points on 41.6 percent shooting. Carsen Edwards is averaging 23.6 points and three assists while Ryan Cline is averaging 11.7 points and 2.9 rebounds. Matt Haarms is grabbing 5.4 rebounds and Nojel Eastern is dishing 2.4 assists. The Purdue Boilermakers are shooting 37.1 percent from beyond the arc and 71.9 percent from the free throw line. The Purdue Boilermakers are allowing 34.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37.4 rebounds per game. The Purdue Boilermakers have won six of their last eight non-home games.

The Virginia Cavaliers have a chance to make the third Final Four in school history and the first since 1984. The Virginia Cavaliers are averaging 71.6 points on 47.9 percent shooting and allowing 55 points on 38.1 percent shooting. Kyle Guy is averaging 15.4 points and 4.4 rebounds while De'Andre Hunter is averaging 15.4 points and 2.1 assists. Ty Jerome is the third double-digit scorer and Braxton Key is grabbing 5.4 rebounds. The Virginia Cavaliers are shooting 40.2 percent from beyond the arc and 74 percent from the free throw line. The Virginia Cavaliers are allowing 27.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.8 rebounds per game. The Virginia Cavaliers have won 10 of their last 11 non-home games.

The Boilermakers are 41-19 ATS in their last 60 non-conference games, 9-4 ATS in their last 13 NCAA Tournament games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Cavaliers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 NCAA Tournament games, 17-7 ATS in their last 24 non-conference games and 44-20-1 ATS in their last 65 games overall. The under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 overall. The over is 5-2 in Boilermakers last 7 overall.

The Virginia Cavaliers have yet to really flex their muscle as a No. 1 seed, as Gardner-Webb had a lead at halftime, Oklahoma hung around until the end and the Oregon Ducks just had them on the ropes and probably win if they didn't settle offensively the last five minutes. The Purdue Boilermakers just played back-to-back tough defensive teams in Villanova and Tennessee, and they produced a combined 186 points and shot over 50 percent in both games. Purdue enters this contest shooting 46.2 percent from the field and 38.1 percent from three in its last five games, percentages good enough to beat this Virginia defense. If Purdue continues to shoot the rock like it has this tournament, this is a game the Boilermakers can win outright. I want the points.

Pick:
Purdue Boilermakers +4.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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