Wisconsin vs. Oregon - 3/22/19 NCAA Tournament First Round Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Wisconsin vs. Oregon
Friday, March 22, 2019 at 3:30 PM (SAP Center)
Oregon Ducks -1 -- O/U: 118
The Oregon Ducks and the Wisconsin Badgers meet in a NCAA tournament first round matchup in college basketball action from the SAP Center at San Jose on Friday afternoon.
The Oregon Ducks enter the tournament as a #12 seed, representing the Pac-12 after finishing the year with a 23-12 overall record, including wins over Syracuse, San Diego and Boise State (twice) as well as losses to Iowa, Houston and Baylor. The Ducks finished conference play with a record of 10-8, coming into the tournament as the #6 seed, defeating Washington State, Utah, Arizona State and then top-seeded Washington in the championship game in a span of 4 days to punch their automatic ticket to the big dance. Payton Pritchard leads Oregon in scoring and assists with 12.7 points and 4.5 assists per game. Louis King is averaging 13.1 points and 5.7 rebounds per game in an abbreviated 28 games while Paul White is averaging 10.6 points per game for the Ducks this season. As a team, Oregon is averaging 70.5 points per game on 45% shooting from the field, 34.3% from behind the arc and 71.9% from the foul line this season.
The Wisconsin Badgers come into the tournament as a #5 seed, finishing the season with a 23-10 overall record, including wins over Xavier, Oklahoma and Stanford as well as losses to Marquette and Virginia. Wisconsin went 14-6 in Big Ten conference play to earn the #4 seed, defeating Nebraska before being taken down by Michigan State. Ethan Happ leads the Badgers by averaging a double-double per game with 17.5 points, 10.1 rebounds and 4.6 assists per game. D’Mitrik Trice is 2nd in team scoring with 11.7 points per game and Brad Davison is 3rd with 10.7 points per game. As a team, Wisconsin is averaging 69.1 points per game on 45.3% shooting from the field, 36.6% from behind the arc and 64.9% from the foul line this season. The Badgers are also solid on defense, sitting 9th in the nation in scoring defense, allowing just 61.4 points per game on the year.
Oregon is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games overall and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 6-1 in their last 7 non-conference games. Wisconsin is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against the Pac-12 and 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall while the under is 18-6-2 in their last 26 neutral site games.
It’s a bit surprising at first to see Wisconsin as an underdog, so it’s easy to jump on the Badgers as a potential value pick. However, playing on the West Coast is obviously nothing new for the Ducks, and with the game being in San Jose, you’re more likely to see more Oregon fans than Wisconsin fans in the stands. Oregon has also been flat out rolling lately which helped the Ducks win the Pac-12 championship game. Oregon is really good defensively, and if Happ gets locked up for Wisconsin, the Ducks are skilled enough to defend the Badgers’ shooters on the perimeter and that could make this a long day for Wisconsin. I’ll take a shot laying the point with Oregon in this spot.