Air Force vs. Army - 11/2/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Air Force vs. Army
Saturday, November 2, 2019 at 2:30 PM (Falcon Stadium)
AF -701, AF -14.5
The Army Black Knights head out west on Saturday for a game with the Air Force Falcons looking to get back into the win column. In their last game, Army lost to San Jose State by the score of 34-29. Since Army runs the triple option, three different players took snaps for Army in the loss including Kelvin Hopkins Jr. who was 2 of 3 passing for 50 yards and a touchdown. Jabari Laws was 2 of 2 for 31 yards and Christian Anderson who was 3 of 8 for 22 yards. While Army only produced 103 yards through the air, they ran for 326 total yards. Anderson was the Knights most productive runner as he rushed for 87 yards, on 16 carries and scored 2 touchdowns. The most productive Army receiver was Camden Harrison who caught the only passing touchdown on the day for the Knights while catching 4 passes for 54 yards. The Army defense struggled all day giving up 402 total yards with 314 of them coming from the San Jose State passing attack.
Army has now lost 4 games in a row and is 3-5 overall. When Army does throw the football, Kelvin Hopkins Jr. has been the Knights most productive passer and has thrown for 452 yards, 4 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Army’s lead rusher on the season is Connor Slomka who has ran 105 times for 452 yards and 3 touchdowns while rushing for 4.3 yards per attempt. Camden Harrison has been the Knight’s most productive receiver on the year and has caught 16 passes for 249 yards and 2 touchdowns. On the year, Army has scored 26.1 points per game while giving up 23.3 points per game.
While Army is trending downward in the win/loss column, Air Force is taking flight. In their last game the Falcons beat Utah State by the score of 31-7. Air Force also doesn’t throw the ball a lot and it shows in their stats. The lead passer on the game was Donald Hammond III who completed 1 of 5 passes for 16 yards. Isaiah Sanders also threw a pass in the game and was 1 of 1 for 8 yards. On the ground, Air Force ran for 448 yards and was in yardage by Timothy Jackson who carried the ball 25 times for 148 yards and a touchdown. Kadin Remsberg added 2 touchdowns on 92 yards and Taven Birdow also scored a touchdown while running for 88 yards. The Falcons defense was strong all day, holding Utah State to just 128 total yards.
Air Force has won 3 games in a row and 4 of 5 as they improved their record to 6-2 and 4-1 in conference play. Hammond III has led the Falcons in passing on the year, throwing for 693 yards, 5 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Remsberg has been the leading rusher for Air Force and has totaled 623 yards on 105 carries while scoring 7 touchdowns. When Air Force does throw, receiver Geraud Sanders has been the most productive Falcon, catching 20 passes for 479 yards and 4 touchdowns. On the year, Air Force has scored 36.6 points per game while allowing 21.9 points per game and will look to pad those numbers against a struggling Army team.
In a game that wont feature much passing, a person may wonder if the most interesting bet on the day is the over/under on how many times someone will pass on the day. But for this game, I have to go with Air Force. The Falcons are better at every aspect of the game and I don’t see Army slowing down their potent offense. Air Force wins 37-24 but does not cover the spread.