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Air Force vs. Hawaii - 10/22/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Hawaii Warriors (3-4) at Air Force Falcons (4-2)
Date & Time Saturday October 22, 2016, 2:00 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Air Force Falcons -17.5 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
OC Sports
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CFB | Hawaii Warriors (3-4) at Air Force Falcons (4-2)
USA TODAY Sports

The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors will travel to Falcon Stadium to take on the Air Force Falcons this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.

The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors dropped to 3-4 (2-1 MW) on the season after being defeated by the UNLV Rebels, 41-38, this past Saturday. Hawaii took a 38-31 lead midway through the 4th quarter however, let the Rebels score the last 10 points in the game which included the game winning 28-yard FG with just 49 seconds left. Hawaii was outgained by UNLV by a 535-446 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin. Leading the way for the Rainbow Warriors was Paul Harris who had a TD and 94 rushing yards on 9 carries. On the season, Hawaii is averaging 30.4 ppg on 423.4 total yards per game (225.0 passing, 198.4 rushing). Offensively, the Rainbow Warriors have been led by their rushing trio of Diocemy Saint Juste (13.6 att/g, 83.3 yds/g, 2 TD), Steven Lakalaka (8.86 att/g, 44.71 yds/g, 8 TD), and Paul Harris (5.4 att/g, 41.14 yds/g, 2 TD). QB Dru Brown has completed 63.7% of his passes for 6 TD and an INT while averaging 155.2 passing yds/game. WR Marcus Kemp (5.1 rec/g, 90.9 yds/g, 4 TD), TE Metuisela `Unga (0.8 rec/g, 16.8 yds/g, 3 TD), John Ursua (2.7 rec/g, 36.7 yds/g, TD), and Dylan Collie (2.6 rec/g, 23.4 yds/g, TD) are the leading receivers for the Rainbow Warriors. Defensively, Hawaii is allowing their opponents to average 38.9 ppg on 487.6 total yards per game (249.0 passing, 238.6 rushing). Hawaii has committed 14 turnovers (7 fumbles, 7 INT) on the season and have an overall turnover ratio of -6.

The Air Force Falcons lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 4-2 (1-2 MW) on the season after being defeated by the New Mexico Lobos, 45-40, this past Saturday. Air Force had no answers to the Lobos rushing attack and couldn’t fight back after falling behind 35-27 at halftime. Air Force outgained New Mexico by a 531-443 margin however, let New Mexico rush for 373 yards in the loss. Leading the way for Air Force was WR Jalen Robinette who had a TD and 182 receiving yards on 7 receptions. On the season, Air Force is averaging 34.3 ppg on 459.5 total yards per game (184.3 passing, 275.2 rushing). Offensively, Air Force has the 6th ranked rushing offense in the country which is led by RB D.J. Johnson (13.8 att/g, 65.7 yds/g), RB Jacobi Owens (8.8 att/g, 64.8 yds/g, 3 TD), RB Shayne Davern (9.7 att/g, 34.5 yds/g, TD), RB Timothy McVey (4.17 att/g, 34.0 yds/g, 4 TD) and QB Nate Romine (12.17 att/g, 29.8 yds/g, 2 TD). QB Nate Romine has completed 43.8% of his passes for 9 TD and 3 INT while averaging 181.5 passing yds/game. WR Jalen Robinette (3.5 rec/g, 94.7 yds/g, 4 TD), RB Timothy McVey (0.8 rec/g, 27.7 yds/g, 2 TD), WR Ronald Cleveland (0.5 rec/g, 21.5 yds/g, 2 TD), and TE Ryan Reffitt (0.8 rec/g, 18.8 yds/g, 2 TD) are the leading receivers for the Falcons. Defensively, Air Force is holding their opponents to an average of 24.8 ppg on 344.2 total yards per game (215.2 passing, 129.0 rushing). Air Force has only forced 6 turnovers on the season and have an overall turnover margin of -1.

The Rainbow Warriors are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss however, are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games. The Falcons are 3-3 ATS this season and 1-2 ATS against Mountain West opponents.

Hawaii has played better as of late winning two of their last three games, however, to be able to become bowl eligible this season, the Rainbow Warriors have to find some answers on the defensive end as they currently rank 122nd in scoring defense. Air Force has suffered a slight setback in their last two games however, do come into this match up with one of the better rushing attacks in College Football which should be able to score some points against the Rainbow Warriors. Air Force showed in their recent game that their defense is capable of giving up some yards on the round and I think the Hawaii offense, which has averaged 36.7 ppg in their last three games, will be able to put up some points on the Falcons, I’m taking Hawaii to cover with the points. 

Pick:
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors +17.5

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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